- Matchup: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-145) Cleveland (+125)
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The New York Mets (48-66) are set to visit Progressive Field on Thursday, taking on the Cleveland Guardians (57-57). The moneyline for this matchup features the Mets at -145 while the Guardians are listed at +125. A total of 8 runs is expected for this game, with Nolan McLean and Foster Griffin as the projected starting pitchers.
The Mets have collectively hit 140 doubles and launched 134 home runs this season. Their slugging percentage sits at .381, and they’ve been struck out 962 times while drawing 363 walks. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, the New York Mets rank 27th in the league. With 441 RBIs and 889 hits, their batting average is .233, contributing to 463 runs scored and an OBP of .303.
The Mets’ K/BB ratio is 2.57, and their pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have allowed 124 home runs and a total of 517 runs (19th in the league). New York has given up 913 hits (8.1 per 9 innings), leading to 461 earned runs. So far this season, their ERA is 4.09, ranking 14th in baseball, with a total of 1,025 strikeouts. They have walked 399 opposing batters, contributing to a FIP of 4.00 for the season.
The Mets bullpen has a save rate of 59.4%, having taken the mound in 76 save opportunities. They have successfully saved 19 games but faltered in 13 of their 32 chances. This relief unit has inherited 148 base runners, with 29.1% eventually scoring. Mets relief pitchers have also entered 107 games with runners on and have 116 high leverage appearances this year. In total, 348 relievers have come into play, with 44 holds recorded (27th in MLB).
In their 9,141 innings played, the Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs, placing them 19th in the league. To date, they have secured 3,047 putouts, 922 assists, and committed 76 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, which ranks them 29th in MLB. They have also executed 70 double plays this season.
McLean has pitched 173 innings in his MLB career, achieving 205 strikeouts with an impressive ERA of 2.96 (57 ERs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.103. He has surrendered 130 hits, averaging 6.8 hits per 9 innings, against 61 walks. McLean holds a career win-loss record of 12-8 and a FIP of 2.92, having faced 710 hitters.
The Guardians, meanwhile, have a slugging percentage of .369, averaging 3.93 runs per game (29th in the league). They have achieved 171 doubles, garnered 413 walks, accumulated 448 runs, and blasted 109 home runs with 430 RBIs. Cleveland has also struck out 944 times (16th in the league) and registered 870 hits, holding a team batting average of .231 and an on-base percentage of .311 this season.
As a staff, the Guardians have a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 3.87. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.40 (1,050 strikeouts vs. 370 walks). They rank 11th in total hits allowed with 906, giving up 127 homers at an average of 4.17 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). Cleveland’s pitching staff has relinquished 468 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.75 (421 earned runs allowed).
Currently, the Guardians are 4th in the league with a save percentage of 75.6%, having utilized 385 relievers this season. Their relief pitchers have handled 137 high leverage situations and entered 114 games with runners on base. Cleveland has had 134 save chances, securing 87 holds alongside 11 blown saves. In 45 save situations, they have managed 34 saves, with an inherited scoring percentage of 27.1% from 177 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Cleveland Guardians have executed 77 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 19th in MLB. With 890 assists, 61 errors, and 3,032 putouts this season, their efficiency stands at 69.4% over 9,096 innings played (21st in professional baseball).
Foster Griffin has allowed 116 base hits and achieved 121 strikeouts over 137 innings pitched in his career. He has surrendered 50 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.101 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.46, having faced a total of 562 batters. Griffin boasts a career record of 13-3 with an ERA of 3.28, allowing 7.6 hits on average per 9 innings.
Who will triumph in this evening’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for New York (-145)
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