- Matchup: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-144) Cleveland (+120)
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On Tuesday, Progressive Field will witness a thrilling contest between the Cleveland Guardians (57-56) and the New York Mets (47-66). The current betting odds place the Mets at -144 while the Guardians are positioned at +120. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs. Expected starting pitchers include Sean Manaea for New York and Joey Cantillo for Cleveland.
The New York Mets have a slugging percentage of .380 with 953 strikeouts and 360 walks this season. The team has recorded 435 RBIs and amassed 880 hits, resulting in a batting average of .232. The Mets have also notched 139 doubles and launched 131 home runs, totaling 457 runs scored. As a unit, New York averages 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 27th in the league.
This season, the Mets’ pitching staff boasts an earned run average of 4.10, placing them 14th in the league, with 1,017 strikeouts. They have allowed 124 home runs and 515 total runs, ranking 19th in MLB. With 391 walks issued and a FIP of 4.00, Mets pitchers have given up 906 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings) alongside 459 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.60, with a team WHIP of 1.29.
The Mets’ relief pitchers have entered 106 games with runners on base, participating in 115 high-leverage situations. Boasting 42 holds this season (27th in the league), the bullpen has a save rate of 59.4% after 74 save opportunities. They’ve converted 19 saves but missed 13 of 32 save chances, with 146 inherited base runners, 29.5% of whom scored. In total, New York has utilized 345 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 9,060 innings, ranking them 19th in the league. This season, they have registered 3,020 putouts, 913 assists, and 75 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .981, positioning them 29th in Major League Baseball. Additionally, they have completed 67 double plays.
Sean Manaea has pitched 1,336 innings, recording 1,272 strikeouts throughout his career. He holds a career ERA of 4.11 (allowing 610 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.212, having given up 1,243 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 377 walks. With a career record of 81-71, his FIP is quantified at 4.05 across 5,597 batters faced.
The Cleveland Guardians possess a team on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .231 this season. They have struck out 936 times (15th in MLB) and accrued 862 hits, scoring 109 home runs and 428 RBIs. Their slugging percentage stands at .370, averaging 3.95 runs per game (29th in MLB). Furthermore, the Guardians have hit 169 doubles, walked 405 times, and scored a total of 446 runs.
The team’s WHIP is recorded at 1.262, accompanied by a FIP of 3.84. Cleveland’s pitching staff ranks 10th in total hits allowed with 897, conceding 462 runs this season, supported by a team ERA of 3.76 (418 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.40 (1,041 strikeouts vs. 367 walks), allowing 124 home runs and giving up 4.15 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).
The Guardians’ bullpen has faced 134 save situations, amassing 87 holds but experiencing 11 blown saves. They have been called upon in 45 save opportunities, recording 34 saves. The inherited run percentage for their bullpen is 27.1%, from 177 inherited base runners. Cleveland ranks 4th in save percentage at 75.6%, employing 383 relief pitchers this season.
In 9,015 innings, the Guardians showcase a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB). With 75 double plays registered, their fielding percentage is .985 (18th in MLB), having compiled 882 assists, 60 errors, and 3,005 putouts this season.
In his career, Joey Cantillo has allowed 224 hits while striking out 276 batters in 247 innings. His stats include 104 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.355, and a FIP of 3.7. Cantillo maintains a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.49 and has faced 1,056 batters, holding a career record of 15-13 with a 3.79 earned run average conceding 8.2 hits per nine innings.
Who do you think will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Opt for Cleveland (+120)
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