- Matchup: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-152) vs. Miami Marlins (+126)
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The Miami Marlins (71-72) are set to challenge the New York Mets (64-78) at LoanDepot Park this Monday. The moneyline for this matchup has New York at -152, while Miami comes in at +126. The total runs over/under is set at 8. Expected starting pitchers are Jonah Tong and Eury Perez.
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The Mets have recorded 180 doubles and hit 174 home runs as a squad. With a slugging percentage of .390, New York has struck out 1,204 times while earning 451 walks. They average 4.2 runs per game, placing them 25th in MLB. The team has compiled 564 RBIs along with 1,125 hits this season, with a batting average of .236, and has totaled 592 runs with an OBP of .306.
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The Mets’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.52, and their pitching staff showcases a WHIP of 1.31. The team’s pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and 642 total runs, ranking 18th in the league. New York has permitted 1,149 hits (averaging 8.2 per 9 innings) and 581 earned runs. The Mets boast a team ERA of 4.13 (14th in MLB), with 1,264 strikeouts recorded. The pitching unit has collectively walked 502 hitters with a FIP of 4.10 for the season.
The bullpen for the Mets has entered games with players on base 131 times and has been involved in 147 high-leverage situations. Relief pitchers have secured 63 holds this season (ranking 26th in baseball), with a save percentage of 60.5% from 110 save opportunities, achieving 26 saves and blowing 17 saves. The bullpen has inherited 184 runners throughout the season, converting 27.2% of those opportunities into runs. In total, 440 relievers have taken the mound for the Mets this year.
The Mets have converted 69.6% of balls hit in play to outs over 11,382 innings of play, placing them at 16th in the league. They’ve achieved 3,794 putouts, 1,120 assists, and 86 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983, which ranks 25th in MLB, including a tally of 86 double plays.
Jonah Tong, with a career record of 3-4, has a FIP of 6.29, having faced 134 batters in his MLB tenure. He has allowed 32 hits (10.2 per nine innings) and issued 16 walks, while posting an ERA of 6.38 (20 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.702. Over 28 innings of work, he has notched 29 strikeouts.
The Miami Marlins have produced 146 home runs and amassed 592 RBIs this season, along with 221 doubles. They have 493 walks and a total of 621 runs scored. The team is hitting .247 with a .325 OBP and a slugging percentage of .398. Averaging 4.34 runs per game, they rank 20th in the league, with 1,174 strikeouts (17th in MLB) and 1,172 hits overall.
Miami stands with a team WHIP of 1.263 and a collective FIP of 4.06 this season. They hold an impressive strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.30 (1,158 strikeouts against 486 walks) and are 6th in MLB for total hits given up, allowing 1,099 hits and 143 home runs, yielding 4.40 runs per nine innings (12th in MLB). Their pitching staff has surrendered 613 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.99 (556 earned runs allowed).
In 133 save scenarios, the Marlins have 81 holds and have encountered 19 blown saves. The bullpen has faced 50 save opportunities, successfully converting 31 into saves, with an inherited runner score rate of 25.4% from 181 inherited runners. Their relievers have been on the field in 137 high-leverage situations and 128 instances with runners aboard. Currently, they possess a save rate of 62.0%, ranking 16th in MLB, having deployed 466 relievers this season.
The Miami Marlins have executed 102 double plays and sport a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB). They have collected 1,197 assists, made 90 errors, and achieved 3,767 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency of 70.8% across 11,301 innings played ranks them 9th in baseball.
Eury Perez, with a career win-loss record of 19-22, holds a 3.73 ERA while giving up 6.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.93, having faced 1,315 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Perez has allowed 133 earned runs and carries a WHIP of 1.130, along with a FIP of 3.7. Throughout his MLB career, he has surrendered 241 hits while accumulating 358 strikeouts over 321 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, covering the spread or securing the moneyline?
Prediction: Back New York (-152)
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