- Matchup: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-160) Miami Marlins (+132)
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The Miami Marlins (72-73) are set to face off against the New York Mets (66-78) at LoanDepot Park this Wednesday. The betting line favors the Mets at -160, while the Marlins are positioned at +132. The total runs line is projected at 9. Pitching will see Robert Stock go for the Mets and Janson Junk for Miami.
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This season, the New York Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 23rd overall in the league. With 605 runs and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .307, the Mets have recorded 185 doubles and 176 home runs. They’ve delivered 575 RBIs and logged 1,148 hits, maintaining a batting average of .237. The team’s slugging percentage stands at .392, with 1,218 strikeouts compared to 459 walks.
New York’s pitching staff holds a 1.30 WHIP while yielding 161 home runs and a total of 648 runs this season, ranking 18th in MLB. They’ve allowed 1,161 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 587 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.12 (15th in MLB). Their strikeout tally is 1,288, with 504 walks issued. As a unit, their FIP is recorded at 4.07.
The Mets have used 448 relief pitchers this year, with the bullpen inheriting 186 base runners; 26.9% of those have scored. The relievers have recorded 63 holds (27th in MLB), entered 149 high-leverage situations, and achieved 27 saves against 17 blown saves from 44 opportunities, yielding a 61.4% save rate.
On defense, the Mets have accumulated 3,848 putouts, 1,128 assists, and 87 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB) with 87 double plays executed. They convert 69.6% of balls in play into outs over 11,544 innings, ranking 17th nationally.
Robert Stock has pitched 101 innings in his career, recording 102 strikeouts with a career record of 3-7. His earned run average (ERA) is 5.16, allowing 58 earned runs and maintaining a WHIP of 1.690. He has surrendered 114 hits (10.1 per 9 innings) and issued 57 walks.
The Miami Marlins have posted an OBP of .326 and a batting average of .247 this season. They’ve struck out 1,191 times (17th in the league) while achieving 1,189 hits. With 149 home runs and 606 RBIs, the Marlins possess a slugging percentage of .399, averaging 4.38 runs per game (20th in MLB). They’ve recorded 221 doubles and 501 walks.
This season, the Marlins pitching staff has allowed 625 runs, maintaining a team ERA of 4.00 (566 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 144 home runs and an average of 4.42 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The team’s WHIP stands at 1.270, along with a FIP of 4.05. They have a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.30, accumulating 1,173 strikeouts against 495 walks, ranking 7th in total hits allowed with 1,122.
The Miami bullpen has inherited 181 runners, with a scoring percentage of 25.4%. They have participated in 137 high-pressure situations, including 128 with runners on base. With 133 save opportunities, the Marlins have achieved 81 holds and 19 blown saves, sitting 16th in the league with a 62.0% save success rate.
The Marlins’ defense has turned 104 double plays this season and holds a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). They have registered 1,220 assists, 92 errors, and 3,821 putouts so far. Over 11,463 innings on the field, their defensive efficiency is at 70.6%, ranking 11th in professional baseball.
Janson Junk, with a career record of 13-16, has a 4.50 ERA and gives up 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He owns a K/BB ratio of 3.49, having faced 1,089 batters in his MLB journey, allowing 129 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 4.40. To date, he has given up 281 hits while striking out 185 batters over 258 innings.
What will be the outcome of tonight’s MLB clash, in terms of spread and moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-160)
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