- Matchup: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (+120), Milwaukee (-144)
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The Milwaukee Brewers, holding a record of 62-37, are set to face off against the New York Mets, who currently stand at 42-58, at American Family Field this Tuesday. The moneyline for the game shows the Mets at +120, while the Brewers sit at -144. The total runs for betting is positioned at 8.5. The starting pitchers expected are Zach Thornton and Brandon Sproat.
Currently, the New York Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking them 26th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 409 runs alongside an on-base percentage of .304. The Mets have hit 124 doubles and launched 117 home runs, totaling 390 RBIs and 785 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .234. Their slugging percentage is .382, with 824 strikeouts and 314 walks recorded.
The Mets maintain a K/BB ratio of 2.55, with their pitching staff registering a WHIP of 1.31. They have surrendered 111 home runs and a total of 471 runs (ranking 20th in MLB). The pitching squad has allowed 806 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 419 earned runs. They also hold a team ERA of 4.23, placing them 17th in the league, with 918 strikeouts recorded. Mets pitchers have walked 360 batters, and their FIP stands at 4.03 for the season.
This season, the Mets have utilized 310 relievers, with 133 inherited runners, of which 28.6% have scored. Their relief corps has managed to secure 38 holds (ranking 27th in the league). The relievers have entered 98 times with runners on base and have made 107 appearances in high-leverage scenarios, achieving 17 saves out of 30 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 56.7%. They have entered 68 save situations this season.
The Mets have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs across 8,025 innings, ranking 22nd in MLB. This season, the Mets have achieved 2,675 putouts, 812 assists, and committed 69 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .981, placing them 29th in the league. They have completed 55 double plays.
On the mound, Zach Thornton has pitched for 17 innings, recording 15 strikeouts in his MLB career. He carries an earned run average of 2.63, allowing 5 earned runs, with a WHIP of 0.936. He has given up 11 hits (5.8 hits per nine innings) and issued 5 walks. Thornton holds a career record of 0-1 and a FIP of 2.59, having faced 67 batters in MLB.
The Milwaukee Brewers have launched 91 home runs this season, accumulating 476 RBIs. They have hit 180 doubles, walked 416 times, and scored a total of 502 runs. Their on-base percentage stands at .337, and they carry a batting average of .253. The Brewers maintain a slugging percentage of .396 and average 5.07 runs per game, placing them 5th in MLB. They recorded 819 strikeouts (18th in MLB) and accumulated 852 hits.
As a pitching staff, the Brewers maintain a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.57. They rank 2nd in MLB for fewest hits allowed, conceding only 714. The Brewers have given up 371 runs this season, complemented by a team ERA of 3.45 (340 earned runs). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.70, with 960 strikeouts against 312 walks, allowing 98 homers and surrendering only 3.77 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).
The Milwaukee bullpen holds an inherited scoring percentage of 40.4% from their 114 inherited runners. They have entered 104 high-leverage situations on 80 occasions with runners on base. In 94 save scenarios, the bullpen has managed 47 holds with 15 blown saves, leading to a save rate of 67.4%, ranking them 14th in MLB. They’ve sent 304 relievers to the mound this season.
Defensively, the Brewers have turned 73 double plays and boast a .988 fielding percentage, which places them 5th in the league. They’ve achieved 769 assists, 40 errors, and 2,660 putouts throughout the season. Across 7,980 innings, the Brewers command a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (ranking 5th in MLB).
Throughout his career, Brandon Sproat has allowed 91 hits while recording 104 strikeouts over 102 innings pitched. With a career record of 3-6, Sproat holds a 5.11 ERA, allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings, totaling 58 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.341 and a FIP of 5.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.26 after facing 436 opposing batters in MLB.
Who will triumph in today’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Milwaukee (-144)
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