- Matchup: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
- Schedule: Friday, September 11, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Lines: New York Mets (+102) | New York Yankees (-122)
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The New York Yankees (83-62) are set to clash with the New York Mets (68-78) at Yankee Stadium this Friday. The current betting odds favor the Mets at +102 while the Yankees are opening at -122. The total runs for the game are projected to be at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Nolan McLean and Carlos Rodon.
This season, the New York Mets have a slugging percentage of .394. They’ve struck out 1,232 times while earning 470 walks. The team has tallied 598 runs batted in and achieved 1,171 total hits, resulting in a team batting average of .238. The Mets have racked up 189 doubles and hit 181 home runs, scoring 627 runs with an on-base percentage of .309. On average, the Mets are producing 4.3 runs per game, ranking 21st in Major League Baseball (MLB).
The Mets’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.57, and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.31. This season, Mets pitchers have allowed 163 home runs and a total of 667 runs (19th in MLB). They have given up 1,191 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 606 earned runs. The team’s ERA is currently 4.19, placing them 17th in the league, with a total of 1,304 strikeouts. Overall, they have walked 508 opposing batters and maintain a FIP of 4.06 for the year.
The Mets’ bullpen has a save rate of 61.7%, with 29 successful saves in 47 opportunities. Additionally, they’ve inherited 192 base runners this season, with 28.1% of those scoring. The Mets have summoned 458 relief pitchers throughout the year, achieving 66 holds, which ranks them 26th in MLB.
Defensively, the Mets have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs over 11,706 innings, ranking them 20th in the league. The team has recorded 3,902 putouts, 1,140 assists, and 89 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors), along with 88 double plays.
Starting pitcher Nolan McLean boasts a career record of 16-9, with a FIP of 2.80, facing 859 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 154 hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) and issued 81 walks, holding an ERA of 2.84 (66 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.123 across 209 innings pitched, with 236 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the New York Yankees have a slugging percentage of .408, averaging 4.53 runs per game (12th in the league). They have recorded 209 doubles, earned 657 runs, and achieved 197 home runs this season alongside 626 RBIs. The Yankees have struck out 1,335 times (5th in MLB) and secured 1,119 hits, leading to a team batting average of .234 and an on-base percentage of .312.
With a staff WHIP of 1.161 and a FIP of 3.68, the Yankees are ranked 2nd in MLB for total hits allowed (1,071). Their pitchers have surrendered 533 runs, maintaining a 3.21 ERA (462 earned runs). The Yankees showcase a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.00 (1,301 strikeouts against 434 walks), allowing 146 home runs and conceding 3.70 runs per 9 innings, the best in baseball.
The Yankees have converted 60.3% of save opportunities, using 479 relievers this season. Their bullpen has entered 164 high leverage situations and 168 with runners on base. Out of 151 save chances, they’ve achieved 81 holds and 27 blown saves, while tallying 41 successful saves from 68 save opportunities. The inherited runners scoring rate for Yankees relievers stands at 20.1% from 239 inherited base runners.
Defensively, the Yankees have turned 109 double plays, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in the majors). They have logged 1,253 assists, made 83 errors, and achieved a total of 3,888 putouts this season. Over 11,664 innings, they possess a defensive efficiency rating of 71.3% (6th in pro baseball).
In his professional career, Carlos Rodon has permitted 1,126 hits while recording 1,479 strikeouts across 1,346 innings pitched. He has given up 554 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.89, having faced 5,645 batters throughout his MLB tenure. Rodon holds a career record of 98-75 with a 3.70 ERA, allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings.
Who will secure victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Favor New York Yankees (-122) and the under with 8.5 total runs.
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