New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Outlook, 6/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Outlook, 6/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
  • Betting Odds: New York Mets (-145) Philadelphia Phillies (+125)

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On June 21, the Philadelphia Phillies (40-35) will host the New York Mets (34-41) at Citizens Bank Park. The current betting odds favor the Mets at -145, while the Phillies are listed at +125. The over/under for this contest is set at 8 runs. The projected starting pitchers include Tobias Myers for the Mets and Zack Wheeler for the Phillies.

MLB Picks - Juan Soto New York Mets Predictions Best Bet Odds

The Mets have hit 95 doubles and 79 home runs as a team this season. They are posting a slugging percentage of .373, with 616 strikeouts compared to 217 walks. The New York Mets average 4.1 runs per game, ranking them 24th in Major League Baseball. They have a total of 292 RBIs and 584 hits, maintaining a batting average of .233. This season, they’ve scored 306 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .298.

The Mets boast a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and a combined WHIP of 1.27. New York’s pitching staff has surrendered 72 home runs and a total of 321 runs, placing 12th in the league. With 581 hits allowed (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 292 earned runs, the Mets carry an earned run average of 3.92 this season (9th in MLB), and have struck out 682 batters. They’ve issued 269 walks, with a team FIP of 3.82 for the year.

The Mets’ bullpen features a 59.1% save rate, having entered 51 save situations. They have recorded 13 saves out of 22 opportunities, with 100 inherited runners, of which 32.0% have scored. Mets relievers have appeared 228 times throughout the season, holding 29 holds (28th in MLB).

Defensively, the New York Mets have tallied 2,012 putouts, 615 assists, and 41 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB). They’ve successfully turned 42 double plays, converting 70.3% of balls in play into outs across 6,036 innings, ranking them 14th in the league.

Pitcher Myers has logged 222 innings with 192 strikeouts in his career. He holds a career record of 10-10, with a FIP of 3.51, facing 934 batters. Myers has maintained a 3.56 ERA (88 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.232, allowing 213 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) with 61 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies have registered 93 home runs and 299 RBIs this season, along with 95 doubles. They boast 223 walks and 308 runs scored, with an OBP of .298 and a team batting average of .229. Their slugging percentage sits at .387, averaging 4.11 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have struck out 647 times (11th in MLB) and recorded 574 hits.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has surrendered 328 runs with a team ERA of 4.10 (304 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 83 home runs, averaging 4.43 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 3.67. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.50, as they have recorded 703 strikeouts against 208 walks, ranking 26th in total hits allowed (664).

The Phillies have 61 save situations, with 30 holds and 7 blown saves. Their bullpen has recorded 23 saves in 30 opportunities, maintaining a save percentage of 76.7%—ranking 5th in MLB. The relief staff has inherited 76 runners, allowing 31.6% to score, and has faced base runners in 60 scenarios.

Defensively, the Phillies have a 67.0% efficiency rating (29th in the majors), turning 44 double plays with a fielding percentage of .987 (15th in MLB). They have amassed 635 assists, 36 errors, and 2,002 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Wheeler has allowed 1,513 hits, accumulating 1,882 strikeouts across 1,790 innings. With a career record of 119-76, he maintains a 3.24 ERA while permitting 7.6 hits per 9 innings and has allowed 644 earned runs, along with a WHIP of 1.127 and a FIP of 3.20. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.73, having faced 7,322 batters throughout his career.

Who will emerge victorious in today’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Back New York (-145)

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Pick: New York Mets (-145)
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