- Matchup: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-128), Pittsburgh Pirates (+106)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-61) are set to face off against the New York Mets (51-66) at PNC Park this Sunday. The current moneyline shows the Mets at -128 while the Pirates sit at +106. The over/under for this matchup is 8 runs. The starting pitchers for this game are Sean Manaea for the Mets and Jared Jones for the Pirates.
The Mets have achieved a total of 147 doubles and have launched 141 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .387, the team has been struck out 996 times while drawing 374 walks. Collectively, the New York Mets average 4.2 runs per game, ranking 23rd in Major League Baseball. They’ve accumulated 465 RBIs along with 925 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .235. The Mets have scored 488 runs, holding an on-base percentage (OBP) of .305.
This year, the Mets have managed a collective earned run average (ERA) of 4.09, placing them 13th in the league, and their pitchers have struck out a total of 1,054 batters. The Mets’ pitching staff has allowed 125 home runs and has given up 532 total runs, ranking 19th in MLB. They have walked 412 batters and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.97. The team has surrendered 946 hits (averaging 8.2 per nine innings) and has 474 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 2.56, with a collective WHIP of 1.30.
The Mets have deployed 359 relief pitchers this season, who have inherited 150 runners, with 30.0% scoring. The bullpen has accumulated 46 holds this year (27th in MLB). They have appeared in 109 situations with runners on base and 120 high-leverage situations, securing 20 saves while failing to convert 14 of 34 save opportunities. The Mets’ relief pitching staff boasts a 58.8% save rate, entering 80 save situations.
Defensively, the Mets have converted 69.2% of balls put into play into outs over 9,393 innings, ranking 23rd in the league. They have recorded 3,131 putouts, 939 assists, and 78 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, placing them 29th in MLB. Additionally, they have achieved 72 double plays.
Sean Manaea has a career win-loss record of 82-71 and a FIP of 4.04. He has faced 5,625 batters and given up 1,250 hits (8.4 hits allowed per 9 innings) and 382 walks. His career ERA stands at 4.10 (612 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.216, spanning 1,342 innings pitched. Manaea has recorded 1,279 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Pirates boast a team slugging percentage of .412 and score an average of 5.02 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have achieved 182 doubles and have walked 427 times, tallying 592 runs scored. Pittsburgh has hit 143 home runs this season and accumulated 567 RBIs. However, they have struck out 1,114 times (leading MLB) and have 1,048 hits. The Pirates hold a team OBP of .334 and a batting average of .257 so far this season.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.326 and a FIP of 3.93. They rank 20th in terms of total hits allowed (968) and have conceded 570 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.32 (506 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.30 (1,094 strikeouts to 429 walks) and they have surrendered 123 home runs, averaging 4.87 runs allowed per nine innings (23rd in MLB).
In 94 save situations, the Pirates have earned 50 holds and recorded 20 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered 43 save opportunities, achieving 23 saves. Pirates relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.4% from 142 inherited runners. They have made 108 appearances in high-leverage scenarios and have encountered base runners 102 times, ranking 27th in MLB with a save rate of 53.5%. Overall, 374 bullpen pitchers have taken the mound this season.
Throughout 9,483 innings played, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (27th in MLB). They have completed 93 double plays with a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in the league). Pittsburgh has recorded 922 assists, 70 errors, and 3,161 putouts this season.
Jared Jones has allowed 152 hits and struck out 194 batters in 177 innings pitched during his career. He has given up 81 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.168 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.53 as he has faced 733 batters in the major leagues. With a career mark of 8-11, Jones holds an ERA of 4.11, giving up 7.7 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown—will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-128)
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