- Matchup: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-182) | Tampa Bay (+150)
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The New York Mets (62-76) are heading to Tropicana Field on Wednesday for a showdown against the Tampa Bay Rays (82-55). The odds for this matchup see the Mets at -182 and the Rays at +150, with an over/under set at 8.5. The starting pitchers for the game will be Justin Hagenman and Shane McClanahan.
For the Mets, the team boasts a slugging percentage of .389, having struck out 1,175 times while drawing 435 walks. They have tallied 539 RBIs and 1,094 hits this season, with a batting average of .236. As a team, they have recorded 175 doubles and launched 166 home runs, scoring 565 runs, and maintaining an on-base percentage of .305. Collectively, the Mets average 4.1 runs per game, ranking 26th in the league.
The Mets carry an ERA of 4.07 for the season, ranking 13th in the league, with 1,234 strikeouts by their pitching staff. They have relinquished 151 home runs and allowed a total of 617 runs (17th in the league). This season, the Mets have walked 491 batters and hold a FIP of 4.04. They have allowed 1,107 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 556 earned runs, leading to a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.30.
Mets relievers have a save percentage of 60.5%, coming into play in 107 save situations. They’ve recorded 26 saves but have missed 17 out of 43 opportunities. This season, they have inherited 179 runners, allowing 27.9% to score. Mets pitchers have faced runners on base 127 times during 147 critical situations, sending 425 relievers to the mound. The bullpen has secured 61 holds this season (26th in MLB).
This season, the New York Mets have achieved 3,689 putouts, 1,087 assists, and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .983, placing them 25th overall in the majors, with a total of 83 double plays. They have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs over 11,067 innings, ranking 16th in professional baseball.
Hagenman has pitched 23 innings in his career, striking out 23 batters. He holds an ERA of 4.66 (12 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.121. Hagenman has given up 24 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 2 walks. He currently holds a career record of 0-1 with a FIP of 4.59, having faced 99 batters in the major leagues.
The Rays have a slugging percentage of .403, averaging 4.51 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have recorded 190 doubles, garnered 441 walks, and scored 618 runs. Tampa Bay has achieved 142 home runs as well as 586 RBIs, with 959 strikeouts (30th in MLB) and 1,197 hits. The team possesses an OBP of .329 along with a season batting average of .260.
The Tampa Bay pitching staff has allowed 565 runs so far this year, holding a team ERA of 3.76 (512 earned runs). They have permitted 171 home runs and let in an average of 4.15 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Rays have a WHIP of 1.145 and a FIP of 4.02 for the season, with a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,123 strikeouts to 341 walks). They are 6th in the league for total hits allowed, giving up 1,061 hits.
In 173 save situations, the Rays have achieved 103 holds alongside 16 blown saves. Their relievers have entered competitions in 70 save opportunities, securing 54 saves. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has an inherited score rate of 31.4% from 159 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have appeared in 133 high-leverage situations and 112 instances with runners on base. They rank 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 77.1%, dispatching 434 relievers to the mound this year.
The Tampa Bay Rays have made 88 double plays with a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in pro baseball). They have tallied 1,084 assists, committed 82 errors, and achieved 3,672 putouts this season. During 11,016 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 71.9% (3rd in professional baseball).
Throughout his MLB career, McClanahan has allowed 418 hits while striking out 559 batters over 517 innings. McClanahan holds a career record of 43-22 with a 3.06 earned run average, permitting 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 176 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.106 and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.63, having faced 2,093 batters so far in his career.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (+150)
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