- Matchup: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Current Odds: New York (+162) Toronto (-196)
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This matchup at Rogers Centre features the Toronto Blue Jays (40-45) facing off against the New York Mets (35-50) this Wednesday. The Mets are listed at +162 on the moneyline, while the Blue Jays come in at -196. The over/under for this game is set at 8 runs, with Freddy Peralta and Patrick Corbin taking the mound for their respective teams.
The Mets have recorded 103 doubles and hit 94 home runs this season, registering a slugging percentage of .374. They have been struck out 704 times while drawing 257 walks. With an average of 4.0 runs per game, the Mets rank 28th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 326 RBIs and 655 hits, holding a batting average of .230 and an OBP of .299.
The Mets have achieved a K/BB ratio of 2.59 with a WHIP of 1.28. They have permitted 85 home runs and 386 total runs against them (19th in the league). Allowing 669 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 346 earned runs, the Mets currently have an ERA of 4.10 (13th in MLB), while their pitchers have struck out 777 batters. The staff has issued 300 walks, with a collective FIP of 3.85 for the year.
Relief pitchers for the Mets have entered games with base runners on 86 occasions and have made 93 high-leverage appearances this season. They have secured 30 holds (28th in the league) with a save rate of 59.1%, converting 13 saves out of 22 opportunities, and allowing 31.6% of inherited runners to score. The Mets have sent 258 relief pitchers to the mound this year.
So far this season, the New York Mets have tallied 2,276 putouts, 687 assists, and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is .981, ranking 28th in baseball, and they have completed 50 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs across 6,828 innings, which places them 18th among all MLB teams.
Freddy Peralta has amassed 1,022 innings pitched thus far, striking out 1,241 batters in his career. Holding a career record of 75-48, Peralta’s FIP stands at 3.62. He has faced 4,253 major league batters, allowing 417 earned runs for an ERA of 3.67, with a WHIP of 1.154. He has given up 784 hits, averaging 6.9 hits per nine innings, alongside 395 walks.
On the other side, the Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .389, averaging 4.06 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have made 138 doubles, accumulated 345 runs, and drawn 235 walks this season. With 86 home runs and 331 RBIs under their belts, the Blue Jays have struck out 632 times (27th in MLB) and recorded 706 hits. Their on-base percentage is .310, with a batting average of .247.
Toronto’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.320 and a FIP of 4.05 for the year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (747 strikeouts to 306 walks), ranking 18th in total hits allowed (691). They have surrendered 94 home runs and allow 4.49 runs per nine innings (14th in the league), contributing to a cumulative ERA of 4.12 (346 earned runs).
Ranked 12th in MLB, the Blue Jays have a save rate of 68.4%, utilizing 323 relief pitchers throughout the season. Their relievers have appeared in high-leverage situations 107 times and encountered runners on base 98 times. With 99 save chances, they have secured 58 holds and recorded 12 blown saves, achieving 26 saves out of 38 save opportunities. Toronto relievers have inherited 143 runners, with 25.2% scoring.
During their 6,801 innings played, the Blue Jays’ defensive efficiency stands at 69.3% (21st in MLB). They’ve recorded 63 double plays and their fielding percentage is .983 (23rd in professional baseball), having made 53 errors and achieving 2,267 putouts this season.
In his career, Corbin has allowed 2,262 hits while accumulating 1,912 strikeouts over 2,116 innings pitched. With a career record of 112-146, Corbin holds an ERA of 4.53, allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 1,064 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.378 and a FIP of 4.50. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.92, facing 9,120 opposing batters during his career.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB game, against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Toronto (-196)
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