- Matchup: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: Nationals.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-122) Washington (+102)
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On Sunday, Nationals Park will host the Washington Nationals (75-84) as they face off against the New York Mets (73-86). The betting lines indicate New York at -122, while Washington is priced at +102. The total runs over/under is set at 9, with Sean Manaea and DJ Herz expected to be the starting pitchers.
The New York Mets are currently averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 21st in the league. They’ve accumulated a total of 682 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .309. This season, the Mets have recorded 205 doubles and launched 197 home runs, with 652 RBIs from 1,280 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .238. Their slugging percentage is .393, and they’ve been struck out 1,332 times, while drawing 516 walks.
The Mets’ strikeout to walk ratio is 2.63, with a collective WHIP of 1.29 from the pitching staff. They’ve allowed 181 home runs and a total of 717 runs this season, ranking 18th in MLB. The team has surrendered 1,284 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 651 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.14, which places them 16th. The staff has struck out 1,427 batters and given up 543 walks, with a FIP of 4.06.
Mets pitchers have faced runners on base 142 times, and they’ve appeared in 158 high-pressure situations. The bullpen has achieved 74 holds this season (25th in baseball) and has a 62.0% save percentage with 31 saves out of 50 chances. They’ve inherited 201 runners this season, with 27.4% scoring. The Mets have used 493 relievers throughout the year.
The Mets have accumulated 4,250 putouts, 1,227 assists, and 92 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .983, ranking them 24th in MLB. They have executed 95 double plays and converted 69.6% of balls put into play into outs over 12,750 innings, placing them 16th overall in baseball.
Sean Manaea has pitched 1,389 innings in his MLB career, striking out 1,325 batters. His career ERA stands at 4.15 (640 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.213. He has given up 1,295 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and recorded 390 walks. Manaea, with a career record of 85-73, features a FIP of 4.08 after facing 5,823 batters.
The Washington Nationals have hit 207 home runs this season and achieved 765 RBIs. They’ve also tallied 277 doubles and 807 runs, with a league-leading OBP of .321 and a batting average of .246. The Nationals average 5.08 runs per game (3rd in MLB) and have struck out 1,327 times (14th in the league), recording 1,333 total hits.
On the pitching side, the Nationals have allowed 798 runs, with a 4.65 ERA (729 earned runs). They’ve given up 211 home runs and yield 5.09 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). Their WHIP is 1.389, with a FIP of 4.70. The strikeout to walk ratio is 8.00, showcasing 1,254 strikeouts against 593 walks, ranking 25th in total hits allowed (1,366).
Currently, they hold a save percentage of 48.8%, placing them 29th in the league, with 504 bullpen pitchers used this season. Their relievers have entered 170 high-leverage situations and faced a total of 166 save opportunities, recording 78 holds and 42 blown saves. The Nationals have converted 40 saves out of 82 chances, with an inherited score rate of 38.5% from 265 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Nationals have turned 134 double plays this year, with a .982 fielding percentage (29th in MLB). They’ve achieved 1,427 assists, 104 errors, and 4,230 putouts. In their 12,690 innings played, they boast a defensive efficiency of 69.5%, placing 17th in professional baseball.
DJ Herz has surrendered 81 hits while recording 110 strikeouts over 92 innings pitched. With a career record of 4-10, Herz holds a 4.39 ERA, allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 45 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.89, having faced 401 batters during his career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup—against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Take Washington (+102)
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