- Matchup: New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis CITY SC
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
- Broadcast: Apple TV
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The CITY SC squad (9-6-11) is set to visit Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, NJ, on Saturday, taking on the Red Bulls (12-8-6). The betting odds favor the Red Bulls at +106, while St. Louis is positioned at -128, with an over/under line set at 3. Expected goalkeepers for this match are Ethan Horvath for New York and Roman Burki for St. Louis.
Currently, the Red Bulls rank 16th in expected goals (xG) with a total of 19.9, while their expected goals against (xGA) is recorded at 21.3. They have conceded 48 goals, with an average of 1.85 goals allowed per 90 minutes and a total of 137 shots on target faced. Their goal difference stands at -16, having scored 32 goals and conceded 48. The Bulls have managed 4 clean sheets this season, achieving a clean sheet percentage of 15.4%. With a total of 89 saves, their save percentage is clocked at 65.0%. This season, New York has received 55 yellow cards and 2 red cards, acquiring an average of 1.27 points per match, totaling 33 points, and ranking 20th in Major League Soccer with just 24 assists.
St. Louis CITY SC, on the other hand, averages 1.7 points per match and boasts 29 assists alongside 2 red cards. They maintain a shutout rate of 11.5%, with 55 yellow cards issued over the season. The team is placed 9th in goals allowed, tallying 36, with a goal difference of +8. This season, CITY has achieved a save percentage of 62.9% from 97 shots on target against them, ranking 7th in MLS with 44 points. Their goals against per 90 minutes stands at 1.38, complemented by 61 saves and 3 clean sheets, while scoring 44 goals with an expected goals figure of 19.7.
Ethan Horvath will guard the net for New York. Over his career, Horvath has played 21,403 minutes and achieved 642 saves. His professional record stands at 103 wins, 60 losses, and 76 draws, including 70 shutouts, equating to a shutout percentage of 29.4%. The American goalkeeper has faced 916 shots across 237 starts, allowing 302 goals, resulting in a goals allowed per 90 minutes rate of 1.27 and a save percentage of 70.1%.
For St. Louis, Roman Burki will be on goalkeeping duties. In his professional career, Burki has conceded 661 goals, making 1,478 saves over 500 starts. His save percentage is 69.5%, and he has a shutout rate of 28.9%. He allows an average of 1.32 goals per 90 minutes and holds a record of 235 wins, 114 losses, and 152 draws, with 145 shutouts after facing 2,127 shots in 45,109 minutes.
Julian Hall is a pivotal player for New York. He has started in 35 matches, scoring at a rate of 0.36 goals per 90 minutes, totaling 14 goals over 3,496 minutes played. Hall has also notched 4 assists, contributing to 32 career points.
On the other side, Simon Becher is a key player for St. Louis, likely to trouble opposing defenses. Becher has played 4,885 minutes and found the net 23 times, averaging 0.42 goals per 90 minutes. He has been a starter in 50 games and has accumulated 53 points, assisting teammates 7 times throughout his career.
Who will cover the spread in tonight’s matchup?
Prediction: Back St. Louis CITY SC (+106)
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