New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Insights, 5/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Insights, 5/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
  • Scheduled Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
  • Broadcast: MASN
  • Odds/Point Spread: New York Yankees (-145) Baltimore Orioles (+125)

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Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the battleground where the Baltimore Orioles (17-23) will face off against the New York Yankees (26-14) on Monday. The betting line is set with the Yankees at -145 and the Orioles starting at +125. The total runs over/under is pegged at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Ryan Weathers and Trevor Rogers.

MLB Predictions for Gunnar Henderson Baltimore Orioles

As a unit, the New York Yankees are averaging 5.3 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league. They have tallied a total of 212 runs while maintaining a .334 on-base percentage. With 68 doubles and 62 home runs, the Yankees have recorded 201 runs batted in along with 315 hits this season, boasting a team batting average of .240. Their slugging percentage stands at .444, and they’ve struck out 353 times while drawing 181 walks.

The Yankees have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.88, and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.16. Yankees pitchers have given up 32 home runs and allowed 138 runs, ranking 3rd in the league. New York has allowed 291 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and 123 earned runs. With an impressive ERA of 3.12 (1st in MLB), the pitchers have struck out 346 batters while issuing 120 walks, resulting in a FIP of 3.50 this season.

Yankees relievers have entered games with runners on base 43 times and 44 times in high-pressure situations, achieving 23 holds this season (ranked 13th in MLB). The bullpen’s save percentage is 58.8%, with 41 save opportunities leading to 10 successful saves and 7 blown chances. They have inherited 68 base runners, with 27.9% scoring. The Yankees have utilized 127 relief pitchers throughout the year.

New York has converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs, placing them 5th in Major League Baseball. They have 1,066 putouts, 379 assists, and 20 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986, which ranks 16th in the league, and they have executed 30 double plays this season.

Ryan Weathers has pitched 319 innings in his MLB career, accumulating 280 strikeouts. He has a career ERA of 4.71, allowing 167 earned runs, and a WHIP of 1.363. He has surrendered 326 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) along with 109 walks. Weathers holds a career record of 14-25 and has faced 1,370 batters in the majors, with a FIP of 4.64.

The Baltimore Orioles possess a .319 on-base percentage and a season batting average of .233. They have struck out 368 times (5th in MLB) and accumulated 309 hits. The Orioles have hit 42 home runs this season and have driven in 176 runs. With a slugging percentage of .385, they are averaging 4.47 runs per game (12th in the league). They’ve accumulated 68 doubles, walked 162 times, and scored 179 runs so far.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 221 runs, holding a team ERA of 4.84 (with 190 earned runs given up). They have conceded 49 home runs and yield 5.63 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Orioles’ team WHIP stands at 1.473 with a FIP of 4.44, and they have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (332 strikeouts to 148 walks). They rank 29th in the league in total hits allowed, with 372 hits given up.

Baltimore’s bullpen has a 15.4% inherited scoring percentage of 52 inherited runners. Their relievers have entered 40 high-leverage situations and 37 with runners on base. With 40 save opportunities, the Orioles have recorded 24 holds and experienced 4 blown saves. Their save percentage is currently 73.3%, placing them 5th in MLB, and they have employed 139 relief pitchers this season.

The Orioles have executed 32 double plays this year, with a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB). They have 340 assists, 26 errors, and 1,060 putouts across 3,180 innings played, indicating a defensive efficiency of 66.8% (29th in MLB).

Trevor Rogers owns a career record of 26-40 with a 3.88 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has faced 2,354 batters in his MLB journey. Rogers has surrendered 237 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 3.80. In his career, he has yielded 515 hits and recorded 548 strikeouts over 550 innings of play.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Selection: Choose Baltimore (+125)

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Pick: Baltimore Orioles (+125)
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