New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Insights, 5/11/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Insights, 5/11/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
  • Scheduled Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
  • Broadcast: MASN
  • Betting Lines: New York (-145) Baltimore (+125)

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Oriole Park at Camden Yards will be the battleground as the Baltimore Orioles (17-23) face off against the New York Yankees (26-14) this Monday. The odds for this matchup show New York at -145 while Baltimore begins at +125. The total runs line is set at 8.5. Starting pitchers for the game are Ryan Weathers and Trevor Rogers.

MLB Predictions and Betting Odds for Gunnar Henderson of Baltimore Orioles

This season, the New York Yankees are averaging 5.3 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league. They have scored a total of 212 runs, boasting a team on-base percentage of .334. The Yankees have recorded 68 doubles and launched 62 home runs, achieving 201 RBIs along with 315 hits, resulting in a batting average of .240. Their slugging percentage stands at .444, having struck out 353 times while drawing 181 walks.

With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.88, the Yankees’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.16. They have allowed 32 home runs and 138 runs (3rd in MLB). The Yankees have surrendered 291 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 123 earned runs, leading to a stellar ERA of 3.12 (1st in MLB), while their pitchers have fanned 346 opposing batters. The staff has issued 120 walks this season, combining for a FIP of 3.50.

This year, Yankees’ relief pitchers have been called upon 43 times with runners on base and have had 44 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has recorded 23 holds (13th in MLB) and their save conversion rate is 58.8%, having secured 10 saves out of 17 opportunities. This season, 127 relief pitchers have taken the mound for New York.

Defensively, the Yankees have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs over 3,198 innings, ranking 5th overall. They have accumulated 1,066 putouts, 379 assists, and 20 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .986, which places them 16th in the league with a total of 30 double plays.

Ryan Weathers has pitched 319 innings throughout his MLB career, achieving 280 strikeouts. With an ERA of 4.71 (allowing 167 earned runs), his career WHIP stands at 1.363. He has given up 326 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) along with 109 walks. Weathers holds a 14-25 career record with a FIP of 4.64, facing 1,370 hitters since his MLB debut.

This season, the Baltimore Orioles report a team on-base percentage of .319 alongside a batting average of .233. They have struck out 368 times (5th in MLB), gathering 309 hits. Baltimore has tallied 42 home runs and 176 RBIs, generating a slugging percentage of .385 and averaging 4.47 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have recorded 68 doubles, 162 walks, and 179 total runs.

The Orioles’ pitching staff has given up 221 runs, representing a team ERA of 4.84 (190 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 49 home runs and allow 5.63 runs per 9 innings (29th in league standings). This year, the Orioles’ WHIP is 1.473 with a team FIP of 4.44. With a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (332 strikeouts versus 148 walks), they stand 29th for total hits allowed this season, with 372 hits surrendered.

Balancing their bullpen statistics, the Orioles hold an inherited runner score percentage of 15.4% across 52 inherited runners. Their relief core has entered 40 high-pressure situations, contributing to 40 total saves, alongside 24 recorded holds and four blown saves. They rank 5th in MLB with a 73.3% save percentage, employing 139 bullpen pitchers this season.

Defensively, the Orioles have secured 32 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB). They have achieved 340 assists, made 26 errors, and compiled 1,060 putouts throughout the season. Over 3,180 innings, the Orioles possess a defensive efficiency of 66.8% (29th among MLB teams).

Trevor Rogers, with a career record of 26-40, shows a 3.88 ERA and allows 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio measures 2.67 against 2,354 batters he has faced in his MLB tenure. With 237 earned runs permitted, his WHIP is 1.309 and a FIP of 3.80. During his career, Rogers has yielded 515 hits while totaling 548 strikeouts across 550 innings.

Who is poised to claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Pick: Wager on Baltimore (+125)

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Pick: Baltimore Orioles (+125)
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