New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Analysis, 8/1/2026 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Analysis, 8/1/2026 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • Broadcast: Marquee Network
  • Betting Lines: New York Yankees (-122) Chicago Cubs (+102)

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The Chicago Cubs (62-47) are set to host the New York Yankees (61-48) at Wrigley Field this Saturday. The moneyline for this matchup features New York at -122 while Chicago opens at +102. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, with Max Fried and David Peterson expected to take the mound.

MLB Predictions: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Best Bet Odds

As of now, the New York Yankees are putting up an average of 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the MLB rankings. They have amassed 506 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .312. The Yankees have hit 165 doubles and launched 153 homers this season. This season alone, they have tallied 481 runs batted in and 845 hits, yielding a batting average of .233. Their slugging percentage stands at .413, having struck out 996 times while drawing 402 walks.

Currently, the Yankees boast a remarkable team ERA of 3.31, leading the MLB. Their pitchers have struck out 974 hitters, while allowing 106 home runs and 419 overall runs (ranked 4th in the league). Additionally, they have issued 331 walks, with a team FIP of 3.68 this season. The Yankees have given up a total of 819 base hits (averaging 7.6 hits per 9 innings) and have registered 358 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.94, and the squad holds a WHIP of 1.18.

This season, the Yankees’ relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.4%, participating in 105 save situations. They have notched 29 saves out of 48 opportunities, missing out on 19 saves thus far. The bullpen has inherited 189 runners this season, allowing 23.3% of those to score. Yankee relievers have taken the mound in high-leverage situations 126 times and have recorded 56 holds throughout the season (ranked 18th in the league).

Defensively, the Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls put into play into outs over their 8,754 innings, placing them 7th in the MLB. They have recorded 2,918 putouts, 955 assists, and committed 61 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in professional baseball) along with 79 double plays.

Fried has pitched for 1,148 innings, accumulating 1,113 strikeouts in his career. With a career win-loss record of 96-44, Fried has a FIP of 3.00 and has faced 4,686 batters in the majors. He holds an earned run average (ERA) of 3.05, having allowed 389 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.145. Fried has conceded 996 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings) alongside 319 walks.

The Chicago Cubs have generated 134 home runs and 529 runs batted in as a team. They’ve hit 184 doubles, earned 473 free passes, and scored a total of 564 runs. With a team OBP of .340 and a batting average of .249 this season, the Cubs have a slugging percentage of .415, scoring an impressive 5.17 runs per game (2nd in the league). The team has struck out 936 times (ranked 12th in MLB) and recorded 933 hits.

As a staff, the Cubs have a WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 4.67. Their K/BB ratio is a solid 7.80 (846 strikeouts against 330 walks). The Cubs rank 20th in MLB for total hits conceded (900), having given up 162 home runs and allowing 4.40 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The overall team ERA stands at 4.16, allowing 449 earned runs this year.

Cubs’ relief pitchers have inherited 31.4% of 156 runners without letting them score. The bullpen has taken the field in high-leverage spots 111 times, with 110 instances of runners on base. With 86 save opportunities, Chicago has recorded 38 holds and 19 blown saves, placing them 26th in the league with a save rate of 54.8%. They’ve utilized 357 relief pitchers over the season.

On the defensive side, the Cubs have achieved a defensive efficiency of 71.8% out of their 8,754 innings, ranking 3rd in the league. They’ve recorded 82 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Cubs have notched 1,010 assists, 41 errors, and 2,918 putouts this season.

Peterson holds a career record of 40-31 with a 4.16 ERA, allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.31, facing 2,780 batters throughout his professional career. With 300 earned runs allowed, Peterson has a WHIP of 1.368 and a FIP of 4.1. He has permitted 615 base hits and recorded 628 strikeouts in 648 innings pitched.

Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Selection: Bet on Chicago (+102)

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Pick: Chicago Cubs (+102)
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