New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs Matchup Analysis, 8/2/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs Matchup Analysis, 8/2/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs
  • Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
  • Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • Broadcast: Marquee
  • Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-128) Chicago Cubs (+106)

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On Sunday, the Chicago Cubs (62-47) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (61-48) at Wrigley Field. Betting odds favor the Yankees at -128 and the Cubs at +106. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with Gerrit Cole and Colin Rea slated to take the mound.

MLB predictions for New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

The New York Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .413, with 996 strikeouts and 402 walks so far this season. They have racked up 481 RBIs and 845 hits, resulting in a batting average of .233. The Yankees have recorded 165 doubles and smashed 153 home runs, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in the league.

New York’s pitching staff boasts a stellar earned run average (ERA) of 3.31, ranking 1st in the league, with 974 strikeouts accumulated. They have allowed 106 home runs and 419 runs, placing them 4th overall. The staff has issued 331 walks, with a FIP of 3.68. The Yankees have given up 819 hits (averaging 7.6 per 9 innings) and a total of 358 earned runs, reflecting a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.18.

This season, the Yankees have utilized 366 relief pitchers, with 189 inherited runners, 23.3% of whom have scored. Their relief unit has registered 56 holds (ranking 18th) and has faced high-leverage situations 126 times, achieving 29 saves from 48 opportunities, reflecting a save percentage of 60.4% in 105 save scenarios.

Defensively, the Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs, which ranks them 7th among MLB teams. They have 2,918 putouts, along with 955 assists and 61 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984 (19th overall) and a total of 79 double plays.

Gerrit Cole has pitched 2,022 innings throughout his career, recording 2,324 strikeouts. With a career record of 157-85, Cole’s FIP stands at 3.14 and he has faced 8,140 batters. His ERA is 3.19, yielding 717 earned runs, alongside a WHIP of 1.089. He has allowed 1,687 hits, averaging 7.5 hits per 9 innings, and issued 514 walks.

On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs have a slugging percentage of .415, averaging 5.17 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They have accumulated 184 doubles, drawn 473 walks, and scored 564 runs, hitting 134 home runs and recording 529 RBIs. The Cubs have struck out 936 times (12th in the league) and have 933 hits, with an on-base percentage of .340 and a batting average of .249.

The Cubs’ pitching unit has a WHIP of 1.265 and a FIP of 4.67 thus far this season. They rank 20th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 900, giving up 475 runs and posting a team ERA of 4.16 (449 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.80 (846 strikeouts vs. 330 walks) and they have conceded 162 home runs, averaging 4.40 runs allowed per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

From the bullpen, the Cubs have seen 31.4% of their inherited runners score. Their relievers have entered high-leverage situations 111 times and have faced base runners on 110 occasions. With 86 save opportunities, they have converted 38 holds and blown 19 saves, earning a save percentage of 54.8% (26th in MLB) and utilizing 357 relief pitchers this season.

The Cubs have turned 82 double plays and feature a fielding rate of .990, placing them 2nd in professional baseball. They’ve notched 1,010 assists, 41 errors, and have achieved 2,918 putouts this season. With a defensive efficiency of 71.8%, they rank 3rd in professional baseball across 8,754 innings played.

In his career, Colin Rea has surrendered 703 hits and tallied 576 strikeouts over 717 innings pitched, with a career record of 45-34. He possesses a 4.45 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings, giving up 355 earned runs and maintaining a WHIP of 1.290 with a FIP of 4.4. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.59 against 3,052 batters faced.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s showdown, covering the spread or winning outright?

Prediction: Bet on New York Yankees (-128)

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Pick: New York Yankees (-128)
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