- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins
- Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: Twins.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-128) Minnesota (+106)
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The Minnesota Twins (70-78) are set to face the New York Yankees (85-63) at Target Field on Monday. The odds for this clash have New York at -128, while Minnesota stands at +106. The total runs over/under is positioned at 8. The starting pitchers anticipated for this contest are Will Warren and Bailey Ober.
On average, the New York Yankees are scoring 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league. They have accumulated 675 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .312. The Yankees have tallied 212 doubles and hit 202 home runs this season. With 1,150 hits and 644 runs batted in, their batting average sits at .235, paired with a slugging percentage of .409. They have struck out 1,353 times while walking 529.
The Yankees feature a remarkable team earned run average (ERA) of 3.26, leading Major League Baseball, and have struck out 1,329 batters. They have allowed 154 home runs and 552 runs (also the best in the league). Their pitchers have issued 446 walks with a collective FIP of 3.74 for the season. New York has recorded 1,100 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 479 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.17.
This season, the Yankees have utilized 490 relief pitchers. The relievers have inherited 251 runners, with 21.1% scoring. Capturing 84 holds (11th in MLB), Yankees pitchers have entered games with base runners 175 times, including 166 high-leverage situations. They have secured 42 saves this year, with 27 blown saves out of 69 chances. Yankees relief pitching boasts a save rate of 60.9%, appearing in 156 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Yankees have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs over 11,907 innings, placing them 6th in MLB. They have collected 3,969 putouts, 1,279 assists, and made 86 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .984, ranking 20th in MLB, along with 110 double plays recorded.
Will Warren has pitched for 327 innings in his career, securing 341 strikeouts, with an ERA of 4.68 (allowing 170 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.406. He has permitted 336 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 124 walks. Warren holds a career record of 19-17 with a FIP of 4.61, facing 1,438 batters in Major League Baseball.
The Minnesota Twins are hitting a .405 slugging percentage and scoring 4.60 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. They have 241 doubles, 681 runs, and 173 home runs this season, while drawing 475 walks. The Twins have been struck out 1,177 times (24th in the league) and have achieved 1,217 hits. Their OBP stands at .319, and their batting average is .244 this season.
On the pitching side, the Twins have allowed 736 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 4.66 (675 earned runs). With 170 surrendered home runs, they concede an average of 5.08 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). Minnesota has a team WHIP of 1.373 and a FIP of 4.28. The team’s current K/BB ratio is 8.60 (1,242 strikeouts against 539 walks) and they rank 21st in total hits allowed, having given up 1,252 hits.
Ranked 9th in baseball for save percentage at 70.7%, Minnesota has used 489 relief pitchers throughout the season. Their relievers have faced 156 high-leverage situations and 145 innings with base runners. Having entered 158 save situations, the Twins have amassed 96 holds and experienced 17 blown saves. Minnesota has converted 41 saves from 58 save opportunities, with a 36.7% inherited runner scoring rate on 210 inherited runners.
Over 11,742 innings played, the Twins have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (20th in MLB). They have turned 99 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the majors). This season, they’ve recorded 3,914 putouts along with 1,127 assists and 67 errors.
Bailey Ober has allowed 673 hits while acquiring 689 strikeouts in 734 innings pitched throughout his career. With a career record of 38-35, Ober has an ERA of 4.12 and allows an average of 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has permitted a total of 336 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.144 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.13; he has faced 3,014 batters over the course of his career.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Choose Minnesota (+106)
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