New York Yankees vs New York Mets Outlook, 5/15/2026 MLB Picks, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs New York Mets Outlook, 5/15/2026 MLB Picks, Top Wagers & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs New York Mets
  • Event Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
  • Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
  • Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
  • Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-128), New York Mets (+106)

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The New York Mets (18-25) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (27-17) at Citi Field this Friday. Current betting odds show the Yankees at -128 and the Mets at +106, with an over/under of 8.5. Starting on the mound will be Cam Schlittler for the Mets and Clay Holmes for the Yankees.

MLB Predictions: Jazz Chisholm Jr on New York Yankees

The Yankees showcase a slugging percentage of .433, striking out 386 times while drawing 200 walks. They boast 212 RBIs and 336 hits this season, achieving a batting average of .234. As a unit, the Yankees have logged 73 doubles and 66 home runs, scoring a total of 223 runs with an on-base percentage of .330. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Yankees rank 4th in the league.

This season, the Yankees have posted an ERA of 3.22 (ranked 2nd in MLB), striking out 384 batters. Their staff has allowed 35 home runs and 154 total runs (4th in the league). With 133 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.46. The Yankees have given up 316 base hits (averaging 7.3 per 9 innings) and 139 earned runs, presenting a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and a collective WHIP of 1.15.

With 140 relievers having taken the mound this year, the Yankees’ relievers have inherited 78 runners, allowing 28.2% of those runners to score. They have achieved 24 holds this season (15th in MLB). Yankees’ relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 49 times, facing high-pressure situations in 50 appearances. They have recorded 10 saves this year but have failed in 8 of their 18 save opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 55.6% with 43 save situations.

The Yankees have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs over 3,501 innings, placing them 6th in MLB. They’ve tallied 1,167 putouts, 413 assists, and 24 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .985 (ranking 22nd) and managing to turn 33 double plays.

Cam Schlittler, with a career record of 9-4, comes in with a FIP of 2.25 after pitching to 506 hitters. He has allowed 92 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and recorded 40 walks. His earned run average stands at 2.28 (32 earned runs), while his career WHIP is 1.047. Schlittler has pitched a total of 126 innings, striking out 143 batters in his MLB tenure.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .290 and a batting average of .225 this year. They have struck out 329 times (27th in the league), producing 315 hits, with 31 home runs and 144 RBIs. The Mets carry a slugging percentage of .340, averaging 3.62 runs per game (29th in MLB). They’ve recorded 56 doubles, drawn 126 walks, and scored 152 runs.

The Mets’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.265, with a FIP of 3.50. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (397 strikeouts against 148 walks). They rank 10th in baseball for least hits allowed, with 329. The Mets have allowed 35 home runs and an average of 4.15 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The team’s ERA stands at 3.75 with 157 earned runs allowed this season.

In 23 save situations, the Mets have recorded 12 holds but have blown 5 saves. Their relief pitchers have faced 11 save opportunities, securing 6 saves. The bullpen has inherited 38.6% of 57 runners. Mets’ relievers have entered high-leverage situations 56 times and faced 43 occurrences with runners on base, while ranking 24th in the league with a 54.5% save rate, having sent 125 relievers to the mound throughout the season.

Defensively, the Mets have recorded 25 double plays and a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). They’ve notched 347 assists, with 21 errors and 1,131 putouts over 3,393 innings, yielding a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (22nd in baseball).

In his career, Clay Holmes has allowed 469 hits, with 526 strikeouts across 551 innings. Holmes maintains a career record of 40-33, with a 3.49 earned run average and allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 214 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.277, and a FIP of 3.4, with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 across 2,360 batters faced.

Who will secure victory tonight in this MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Recommendation: Bet on New York (-128)

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Pick: New York Yankees (-128)
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