New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Analysis, 7/24/2026 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Analysis, 7/24/2026 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies
  • Game Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
  • Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-160) Philadelphia Phillies (+132)

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The Philadelphia Phillies (56-47) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (57-45) at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. The betting odds place the Yankees at -160 while the Phillies open at +132. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for the game are anticipated to be Will Warren for the Yankees and Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies.

MLB Betting Predictions - New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

The New York Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .420 and have recorded 917 strikeouts, paired with 382 walks this season. With 457 RBIs and 795 hits, their batting average stands at .236. The Yankees have compiled 153 doubles and hit 147 home runs, resulting in a total of 480 runs scored, ranking them 10th in MLB with an average of 4.7 runs per game.

New York features a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and the pitching unit has a combined WHIP of 1.19. The Yankees pitchers have allowed 102 home runs and given up 392 runs, ranking 4th in MLB. With 766 hits allowed (7.6 per 9 innings) and 341 earned runs, their ERA is at 3.38 for the season (1st in MLB), and they have struck out 902 batters while walking 308. The team’s FIP currently stands at 3.73.

Yankees relievers have faced runners on base 118 times and have participated in 114 high-leverage situations. Collectively, they have achieved 50 holds this season (18th in baseball) and hold a save rate of 61.0%, successfully converting 25 out of 41 save opportunities. Additionally, they have inherited 175 runners, with 24.6% of those scoring. This season, 340 relief pitchers have been utilized by the Yankees.

Defensively, the Yankees have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs over their 8,160 innings, ranking 7th in MLB. Their season stats include 2,720 putouts, 882 assists, and 58 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in MLB) and creating 72 double plays.

Will Warren has pitched for 284 innings, accumulating 297 strikeouts throughout his MLB career, posting an earned run average of 4.75 (150 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.415. He has allowed 293 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 109 walks and holds a 16-15 career record with a FIP of 4.68, having faced 1,254 batters.

On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies have a slugging percentage of .402 and an average of 4.35 runs per game, placing them 18th in baseball. They have registered 140 doubles, drawn 302 walks, and scored 448 runs. With 135 home runs this season, they’ve tallied 433 RBIs and struck out 913 times, resulting in a team batting average of .236 and on-base percentage of .303.

Pitched collectively, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.317 and a FIP of 3.82. They rank 26th in total hits allowed with 902, having given up 463 runs, culminating in a team ERA of 4.27 (433 earned runs). The K/BB ratio is impressive at 9.90 (1,004 strikeouts vs. 301 walks) with 125 home runs allowed, averaging 4.56 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

The Phillies lead with a save percentage of 74.4% and have used 343 relievers this season. They have entered 86 high-leverage situations and dealt with runners on base in 78 instances. With 82 save situations, they have amassed 41 holds, along with 10 blown saves. Despite facing 39 save opportunities, their bullpen has secured 29 saves while allowing 35.5% of inherited runners to score (110 total inherited runners).

Defensively, the Philadelphia Phillies have executed 58 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). They have recorded 846 assists, 50 errors, and 2,740 putouts across 8,220 innings, showcasing a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (29th in pro baseball).

Throughout his career, Luzardo has permitted 730 hits while striking out 918 batters across 810 innings pitched. His WHIP stands at 1.239 with a FIP of 4.0. He has allowed 368 earned runs with a K/BB ratio of 3.35, facing 3,387 batters and recording a career record of 50-45 along with an earned run average of 4.09 (8.1 hits allowed per 9 innings).

Which team will triumph tonight, covering the spread or winning outright?

Expert’s Prediction: Select Philadelphia (+132) and the under on 8 runs

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Pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+132) and the under on 8 runs
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