- Matchup: New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-152) San Diego (+126)
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The New York Yankees (80-60) are traveling to Petco Park this Saturday to face off against the San Diego Padres (73-67). The moneyline for this matchup has New York positioned at -152, while San Diego stands at +126. The over/under for total runs has been established at 9. Expected to take the mound are Carlos Rodon and Robbie Ray.
The Yankees have collectively hit 201 doubles and sent 192 balls over the fence this season. With a slugging percentage of .409, they have struck out 1,288 times and drawn 502 walks. On average, New York scores 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 11th in the MLB. This season, they have amassed 607 RBIs and 1,083 hits, resulting in a .234 batting average. The Yankees currently hold 636 runs scored, coupled with an on-base percentage of .311.
New York boasts an impressive team ERA of 3.24, leading the MLB rankings, while their pitching staff has struck out 1,256 batters. The Yankees’ pitchers have surrendered 137 home runs and a total of 521 runs, also the best in the league. The team’s walk rate stands at 421, with a FIP of 3.65 for the season. New York has allowed 1,047 hits (averaging 7.5 per 9 innings) and 451 earned runs, achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.17.
This year, Yankees pitchers have dealt with runners on base 166 times and have faced high-leverage situations in 161 appearances. The bullpen has secured 79 holds (ranked 11th in MLB) and has achieved a save percentage of 60.6% in 147 save opportunities, converting 40 saves while failing in 26. Overall, 20.3% of 237 inherited runners have scored. A total of 465 relief pitchers have taken the mound this season.
Defensively, the Yankees have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs over their 11,265 innings, placing them 8th in the league. They have recorded 3,755 putouts, 1,220 assists, and committed 81 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, ranking 21st across the league. They have also turned 108 double plays.
Rodon, with a career record of 97-75, possesses a FIP of 3.66 and has faced 5,625 hitters. He has given up 1,124 hits (averaging 7.5 hits per nine innings) alongside 508 walks. Rodon has an ERA of 3.71 (with 553 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.217 after pitching 1,341 innings, accumulating 1,472 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Padres have a slugging percentage of .387 and score an average of 4.24 runs per game, ranking 22nd in the league. They recorded 202 doubles, drawn 485 walks, and scored 594 runs so far. San Diego has hit 153 home runs this season along with 572 RBIs, and they have struck out 1,139 times (20th in the MLB), achieving a total of 1,096 hits. They possess a .315 on-base percentage and a batting average of .237 this season.
This season, Padres pitching has allowed 584 runs with a team ERA of 3.94, conceding 542 earned runs. They have permitted 155 home runs and give up 4.25 runs per 9 innings, ranking 9th in baseball. The team WHIP stands at 1.292 with a FIP of 4.19. Their K/BB ratio is 8.20, translating into 1,131 strikeouts against 475 walks, placing them 12th in total hits allowed with a tally of 1,125.
San Diego ranks 11th in MLB with a save percentage of 69.0%, deploying 470 relief pitchers this season. The bullpen has operated under pressure in 156 high-leverage situations and 136 instances with runners on base. Out of 146 save opportunities, the Padres have achieved 85 holds versus 18 blown saves. In 58 save chances, they have completed 40 saves, and the bullpen holds an inherited scoring rate of 31.8% from 220 inherited base runners.
In their total of 11,145 defensive innings, the Padres have achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in the MLB). They have executed 112 double plays with a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 5th in the league. This season, they have recorded 1,236 assists, 59 errors, and totaled 3,715 putouts.
Throughout his professional career, Ray has allowed 1,270 hits and recorded 1,753 strikeouts across 1,467 innings. With a total of 641 earned runs allowed, he has a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is at 2.81, having faced 6,207 batters, and holds a career record of 89-82 with a 3.93 ERA, giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game? Will it be against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Choose New York (-152)
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