- Game: New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- TV: Padres.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: New York Yankees (-132) San Diego Padres (+110)
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The New York Yankees (80-60) are set to visit Petco Park on Friday to take on the San Diego Padres (73-67). The moneyline for this match shows New York at -132 and San Diego at +110, with an over/under of 8 runs. Pitchers Carlos Rodon and Walker Buehler will be on the mound for their respective teams.
Collectively, the New York Yankees are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking 11th in MLB. They have scored a total of 636 runs with a team on-base percentage of .311. The Yankees have hit 201 doubles and launched 192 home runs this season, accumulating 607 RBIs and 1,083 total hits, while holding a batting average of .234. With a slugging percentage of .409, they have struck out 1,288 times and drawn 502 walks.
New York’s pitching staff boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and a combined WHIP of 1.17. Yankees pitchers have allowed 137 home runs and given up a total of 521 runs (leading MLB). They have permitted 1,047 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 451 earned runs, resulting in an impeccable team ERA of 3.24 this season (best in baseball), with 1,256 strikeouts. Additionally, they have issued 421 walks, and their FIP stands at 3.65.
This bullpen has a save percentage of 60.6%, entering 147 save situations and securing 40 saves, missing 26 of 66 opportunities. The relievers inherited 237 base runners this year, with 20.3% scoring. Yankees pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 166 times while appearing in high-leverage situations 161 times. The team has used 465 relievers throughout the season, posting 79 holds (ranking 11th in the league).
Defensively, the New York Yankees have registered 3,755 putouts, 1,220 assists, and 81 errors this season. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984, which ranks 21st in the league, while they have successfully turned 108 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs during their 11,265 innings, placing them 8th in the majors.
Rodon has pitched 1,341 innings, striking out 1,472 batters throughout his MLB journey. With a career record of 97-75, he holds a FIP of 3.66 while facing 5,625 hitters. His earned run average stands at 3.71 (553 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.217, allowing 1,124 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and issuing 508 walks.
The Padres have a team slugging percentage of .387, averaging 4.24 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have achieved 202 doubles, drawn 485 walks, and scored a total of 594 runs. San Diego has hit 153 home runs this season, alongside 572 RBIs. They’ve also struck out 1,139 times (ranking 20th) and amassed 1,096 total hits, maintaining a team on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .237.
The San Diego pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.292, with a FIP of 4.19 this year. Their K/BB ratio is at 8.20 (1,131 strikeouts and 475 walks). They rank 13th in total hits allowed, having surrendered 1,125 hits and 155 home runs while allowing 4.25 runs per 9 innings (9th best in MLB). This bullpen has given up 584 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 3.94 (542 earned runs).
San Diego’s bullpen boasts a 31.8% scoring rate for inherited base runners from 220 opportunities. They have encountered high-leverage scenarios 156 times and faced runners on base in 136 instances. With 146 save opportunities, the Padres have recorded 85 holds and 18 blown saves, ranking 11th in MLB with a 69.0% save rate. They’ve used 470 relievers this season.
Defensively, the San Diego Padres have turned 112 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in MLB). They have accumulated 1,236 assists, committed 59 errors, and made 3,715 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6% (10th in baseball) over 11,145 innings.
Buehler, with a career record of 65-35, possesses a 3.67 ERA, allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is at 3.19, having faced 4,026 batters. He has surrendered 396 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.182 and a FIP of 3.6. In his career, Buehler has allowed 847 hits while striking out 957 batters across 970 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Choose New York (-132)
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