- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Event Date: Monday, October 5, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcasting Network: TBS
- Betting Odds: New York (-131) Tampa Bay (+109)
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This Monday at Tropicana Field, the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) will take on the New York Yankees (93-68) in Game 2 of the ALDS, with Tampa leading the series 1-0. The betting odds for this game feature the Yankees at -131, while the Rays are positioned at +109. The over/under is set at 6.5 runs. This contest features starting pitchers Cam Schlittler and Freddy Peralta.
The Yankees are posting a slugging percentage of .409 and have registered 1,480 strikeouts alongside 572 walks. They have accumulated 706 RBIs and racked up 1,250 hits this season, maintaining a batting average of .235. As a team, the Yankees have notched 224 doubles and launched 223 home runs. With 739 runs scored, their team on-base percentage stands at .311, giving them an average of 4.6 runs per game, placing them 8th in Major League Baseball.
New York boasts a team ERA of 3.24 this season, ranking first in the league, having struck out 1,450 batters. The Yankees’ pitchers have conceded 165 home runs and allowed 601 total runs, putting them at second in MLB. They have issued 488 walks, and their collective FIP is 3.71. New York has surrendered 1,204 hits, averaging 7.5 hits per 9 innings, alongside 519 earned runs. The K/BB ratio for the pitching staff is 2.97, with a WHIP of 1.17.
The Yankees’ bullpen has faced 190 instances with runners on base and has made 175 high-leverage appearances. They have earned 86 holds this season (15th in MLB) and currently hold a save percentage of 61.6%, having entered 162 save situations. With 45 successful saves against 28 blown saves, the bullpen has inherited 271 runners, 22.1% of whom scored. The team has dispatched 532 relievers to the mound throughout the season.
Defensively, the Yankees have converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs across 12,972 innings, ranking 7th in the league. They have amassed 4,324 putouts, 1,395 assists, and recorded 96 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .983, placing them 22nd in professional baseball, along with a total of 123 double plays.
Cam Schlittler has thrown for 266 innings, racking up 323 strikeouts during his MLB journey. With a career record of 18-9 and a FIP of 2.20, he has faced 1,065 batters in the majors. Schlittler maintains an ERA of 2.23, having allowed 66 earned runs, and a WHIP of 1.003, with 187 hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) and 80 walks given up.
The Rays, on the other hand, have recorded 169 home runs and 700 RBIs, achieving 230 doubles. They have drawn 514 walks and scored 736 runs, resulting in a team OBP of .326 and a batting average of .258 this season. With a slugging percentage of .402, they average 4.54 runs per game, placing them 12th in baseball. The Rays have been struck out 1,145 times (30th in the league) and have acquired a total of 1,405 hits.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.139 and a FIP of 4.04 this season. With a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts to 409 walks), they rank 4th in MLB for total hits allowed, conceding 1,235. So far, they have given up 201 home runs and allow 4.05 runs per 9 innings, ranking 6th in the league. Their team ERA is 3.70, with 650 runs allowed this season.
Currently, the Rays have recorded 194 save situations, achieving 115 holds with 20 blown saves. Tampa Bay has seen relievers in 78 save opportunities, successfully saving 58 of them. Their relievers have a 32.3% inherited scoring rate with respect to 192 inherited runners. They have made 163 high-leverage appearances and 134 outings with runners on base, ranking 4th in MLB with a 74.4% save percentage. Throughout the season, the Rays have deployed 522 relief pitchers.
Defensively, the Tampa Bay Rays have turned 100 double plays and maintain a .984 fielding percentage (21st in the majors). They have racked up 1,279 assists, 92 errors, and achieved 4,329 putouts. With a defensive efficiency of 72.3% over their 12,987 innings, the Rays hold the top spot in professional baseball.
Freddy Peralta’s MLB career includes 735 hits allowed and 1,196 strikeouts across 986 innings pitched. He has yielded 391 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.126 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.19, having faced 4,071 batters throughout his career. Peralta has a career record of 75-44 with an ERA of 3.57, allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Favor Tampa Bay (+109)
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