New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Outlook, 7/7/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Outlook, 7/7/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
  • Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
  • Broadcast: MLB.TV
  • Betting Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Tampa Bay (+150)

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This Tuesday, Tropicana Field will host the clash between the Tampa Bay Rays (52-35) and the New York Yankees (49-40). The moneyline for this matchup stands at the Yankees at -182 and the Rays at +150, with an over/under set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers are anticipated to be Will Warren for New York and Ian Seymour for Tampa Bay.

MLB picks Trent Grisham New York Yankees predictions best bet odds

This season, the Yankees have recorded 134 doubles and hit 128 home runs. They are currently slugging at .419 and have struck out 790 times compared to 350 walks. Averaging 4.8 runs per game, New York ranks 10th in the league. With 406 RBIs and 691 hits, their team batting average rests at .235, resulting in a total of 427 runs and an on-base percentage of .318.

The Yankees’ pitchers have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.86 and a combined WHIP of 1.20. They have allowed 87 home runs and a total of 349 runs, ranking 5th in MLB. New York has permitted 676 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 298 earned runs this season, maintaining a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.39, which is 2nd in the league. Their strikeout tally stands at 779, with 272 walks given up, leading to a FIP of 3.73.

The Yankees’ relief pitchers boast a save rate of 61.8%, entering 78 save opportunities. They have secured 21 saves while failing in 13 of 34 chances. With 151 inherited runners, 26.5% have scored. Yankees pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 101 times and entered high leverage situations 97 times, using a total of 294 relievers this season. The bullpen has achieved 43 holds (20th in MLB).

This season, the New York Yankees have amassed 2,372 putouts, 777 assists, and 53 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .983, placing them 20th in MLB. They have turned 61 double plays, converting 70.8% of balls in play into outs over 7,116 innings, ranking 9th in professional baseball.

Warren (career record of 16-14) holds a FIP of 4.62. He has faced 1,210 MLB batters, allowing 281 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and issuing 104 walks. His earned run average is 4.70 (143 earned runs), and he carries a WHIP of 1.405 after pitching 274 innings, totaling 291 strikeouts throughout his career.

The Tampa Bay Rays have notched 84 home runs and recorded 377 RBIs. They have hit 122 doubles, acquired 316 walks, and scored 396 runs so far this season. Tampa Bay holds a team on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .259. Their slugging percentage stands at .397, averaging 4.55 runs per game (15th in the league), striking out 622 times (30th in the league) with 751 hits.

The Rays’ pitching staff has allowed 361 runs this season, compiling a team ERA of 3.75 (323 earned runs). They have permitted 108 home runs, yielding 4.19 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB), maintaining a team WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 4.18. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.00 (686 strikeouts vs. 236 walks), currently ranking 5th in MLB for total hits allowed (678).

Ranked 6th in the league with a save percentage of 72.9%, Tampa Bay has utilized 275 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has faced 89 high leverage situations and stepped onto the mound with runners on in 72 occasions. With 114 save situations, they hold 66 holds and 13 blown saves, converting 35 saves from 48 save chances and inheriting 25.2% of 103 inherited base runners.

The Tampa Bay Rays have participated in 57 double plays, maintaining a .983 fielding percentage (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 708 assists, 53 errors, and totaled 2,328 putouts this season. With 6,984 innings played, their defensive efficiency ranks at 72.0% (2nd in baseball).

In his MLB career, Seymour has given up 88 hits while striking out 124 batters in 113 innings pitched. He has allowed 48 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.133 and a FIP of 3.8, maintaining a 3.10 strikeout-to-walk ratio after facing 472 batters. Seymour boasts a career record of 9-4 with an earned run average of 3.82, allowing 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB match against the spread or moneyline?

Selection: Opt for New York (-182)

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Pick: New York Yankees (-182)
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