- Game: New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: Nationals.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-132) vs Washington Nationals (+110)
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On Sunday, July 12, 2026, the New York Yankees (52-42) will travel to Nationals Park to face off against the Washington Nationals (48-47). The Yankees are favored at -132, while the Nationals open at +110. The projected over/under for this matchup sits at 8.5, with Will Warren and Cade Cavalli expected to take the mound.
This season, the Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .423 and have struck out 853 times, drawing 359 walks along the way. With 432 RBIs and 738 hits recorded, their batting average stands at .237. New York has hit 139 doubles and gone deep 139 times, scoring a total of 453 runs and achieving an on-base percentage of .317. The Yankees average 4.8 runs per game, positioning them 9th in the league.
The Yankees hold an impressive team ERA of 3.40 this season, ranking 2nd in the league, with their pitchers striking out 818 batters. They have conceded 93 home runs and 366 runs (5th in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 278 walks, and their FIP stands at 3.73 overall. They have allowed 714 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and 315 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and a team WHIP of 1.19.
Yankees pitchers have faced players on base 106 times and have appeared in 100 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has recorded 45 holds this season (20th in baseball) and boasts a save rate of 60.0%, having taken the mound in 81 save opportunities with 21 successful saves. The relievers have inherited 158 base runners this year, with 26.6% scoring. New York has used 310 relief pitchers throughout the season.
The Yankees have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs across their 7,503 innings, ranking 9th in MLB defensively. As the season progresses, New York has achieved 2,501 putouts, 826 assists, and 56 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .983, which positions them 20th in professional baseball, while also completing 63 double plays.
Will Warren has pitched 278 innings in his MLB career, striking out 294 batters thus far. With a career ERA of 4.82 (149 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.417, he has surrendered 288 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 106 walks. Warren has a career record of 16-15 and a FIP of 4.75 against 1,231 batters faced throughout his time in the majors.
The Nationals feature a team slugging percentage of .435 and average 5.38 runs per game, leading MLB. Washington has recorded 163 doubles, drawn 324 walks, and amassed 511 runs this season. They have hit 134 home runs and tallied 486 RBIs while striking out 785 times (17th in MLB) and achieving 817 total hits. Their on-base percentage stands at .325 with a batting average of .251 this year.
As a pitching staff, the Nationals have a WHIP of 1.398 and a FIP of 4.73 for the season, ranking 28th in total hits allowed with 858. They have given up a total of 500 runs and carry a 4.76 team ERA (451 earned runs). The strikeout to walk ratio is 8.00, resulting in 755 strikeouts against 333 walks while allowing 134 home runs and averaging 5.28 runs allowed per 9 innings, ranking 28th in MLB.
The Nationals’ bullpen has inherited 140 base runners with a scoring rate of 43.6%. Their pitchers have appeared in high-stress situations 104 times and faced runners on base 91 times. Washington has 110 save opportunities, with 52 holds but also 26 blown saves, reflecting a save rate of 50.9%, ranking 27th in the league. They have deployed 304 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Nationals have turned 76 double plays and hold a .979 fielding percentage (30th in MLB). They have accumulated 867 assists, 73 errors, and 2,558 putouts. The team’s defensive efficiency stands at 68.7% across their 7,674 innings on the field, ranking 27th in the league.
Cade Cavalli, sporting an 8-6 career record, has a 4.34 ERA and allows 9.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.15, having faced 654 hitters in his career. He has permitted 70 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.433 and a FIP of 4.3. Throughout his time in the majors, Cavalli has given up 160 hits and recorded 151 strikeouts in 145 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take New York Yankees (-132)
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