Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira Betting Picks, 08/01/2026 Predictions UFC Belgrade Odds

• Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira: A Clash to Anticipate
• UFC Belgrade: An Event Not to Miss
• Belgrade Arena, Serbia: The Venue
• Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026

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On August 1, 2026, Oban Elliott faces off against Michael Oliveira at UFC Belgrade. The opening odds show Elliott at +287 while Oliveira is favored at -357.

Known as “The Welsh Gangster,” Oban Elliott boasts a professional record of 12 wins and 4 losses (12-4-0). Weighing in at 170 lbs and standing at 6’0″, this orthodox fighter has a reach of 72 inches. In contrast, Michael “PQD” Oliveira is 6’1″ and also weighs 170 lbs, sporting an undefeated record of 9-0-0. His reach measures 78 inches. When it comes to significant strikes, Elliott averages 3.62 per minute, while Oliveira excels with an impressive 8.40 significant strikes landed per minute. Elliott connects on 48% of his strikes, compared to Oliveira’s 51%. Defensively, Elliott absorbs 2.24 significant strikes per minute, while Oliveira takes 3.36. Elliott successfully defends against 61% of the significant strikes aimed at him, whereas Oliveira blocks 66% of incoming shots.

In wrestling, Oban Elliott demonstrates better averages, completing 1.52 takedowns every 3 rounds with a success rate of 40%. He defends against 52% of takedowns attempted against him. On the other hand, Oliveira’s takedown success rate is lower at 15%, but he boasts an impressive 85% takedown defense. As for submission attempts, Elliott averages 0.9 submissions per 3 rounds while Oliveira looks for submissions at a rate of 0.4 per 15 minutes.

In his last bout, Oban Elliott faced Jonathan Micallef, suffering a defeat via rear-naked choke in round 2. Micallef landed 30 of his 70 strikes, while Elliott managed 47 out of 89 total strikes. For significant strikes, Micallef was 19 out of 59, achieving 32% accuracy, while Elliott connected on 40 of his 82 significant strikes, also with 48% accuracy. Most of their striking exchanges occurred at a distance, with Micallef hitting 84% of his strikes and Elliott 87%.

In Michael Oliveira’s previous appearance inside the Octagon, he knocked out Victor Valenzuela with a punch in round 2. Valenzuela achieved 100% success with his significant strikes at distance, while Oliveira connected on 89% of his significant strikes from the same range. Overall, Oliveira landed 75 of 146 significant strikes, including 57 to the head. Valenzuela, on the other hand, went 30 of 89 in significant strikes, with an accuracy of 22% on head strikes. Valenzuela attempted a total of 92 strikes, landing 33, compared to Oliveira’s 76 out of 147 total attempts.

Additional Bouts of Interest on the Card

Keep an eye on the fight between Dennis Buzukja and Bogdan Grad. Buzukja aims to improve his record of 12-6-0. He weighs 145 lbs and stands at 5’9″, sporting a reach of 70 inches. Grad, measuring 5’8″ and weighing 145 lbs, hopes to add to his record of 15-4-0. In grappling, Buzukja averages 0.62 takedowns over 3 rounds, while Grad secures 4.22 takedowns every 15 minutes. In striking, Buzukja lands 4.21 strikes per minute with a 43% accuracy, while Grad hits 4.06 strikes per minute, with a 51% accuracy rate.

Another notable matchup features Kyle Prepolec facing Mateusz Rebecki. Rebecki seeks to extend his career record of 20-5-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands at 5’7″, while Prepolec, at 5’10”, is also at 155 lbs. Rebecki blocks 53% of takedowns while successfully landing 48% of his own attempts. Prepolec gets takedowns on 15% of his attempts and defends against 45% overall. In striking, Rebecki lands 4.79 strikes per minute while taking 4.36 strikes, while Prepolec absorbs 5.69 strikes but only lands 3.25 per minute.

Who will claim victory in tonight’s UFC event?

Prediction: Choose Michael Oliveira (-357)