Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction and Preview for 4/25/2026

Home » Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction and Preview for 4/25/2026

  • Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
  • Broadcast: NBC
  • Betting Odds: Oklahoma City -9.0

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This Saturday at the Mortgage Matchup Center, the Phoenix Suns (45-37) aim to overcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18) in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series, where OKC currently holds a 2-0 advantage. The Suns open as 9.0-point underdogs according to sportsbooks, with the total set at 214.5 points.

NBA Picks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions Best Bet Odds

In Game 2, the Thunder secured a 120-107 victory, showcasing a shooting percentage of 47.3% (43 of 91) and hitting 14 of 40 from beyond the arc. OKC also excelled at the free-throw line, converting 20 of 25 attempts for an impressive 80%. They recorded a total of 40 rebounds, including 12 offensive boards, and facilitated 24 assists while forcing 22 turnovers and achieving 14 steals. On the defensive end, the Thunder allowed the Suns to shoot 45.9% from the field on 39 out of 85 attempts. Meanwhile, Phoenix managed to distribute 23 assists and grabbed 44 rebounds (15 offensive and 29 defensive), with 6 blocks contributing to their defensive efforts. The Suns also shot 81.8% from the line by making 18 of 22 tries, and 11 of 31 from three-point range. Oklahoma City had 21 fouls compared to Phoenix’s 25.

The star of the night for the Thunder was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 37 points on 13 of 25 shooting, along with 5 rebounds and 9 assists in 38 minutes on the court, boasting a 52.0% shooting rate.

The Thunder advance into this matchup with a stellar 64-18 record this season, averaging 119.0 points per game (5th in the league) while shooting 48.4% from the field. They have hit 36.5% of their three-point attempts (1,135 of 3,111) and excelled at free throws with an 81.7% conversion rate. As a unit, Oklahoma City averages 44.1 rebounds per game and has tallied 2,113 assists this season, ranking 19th in the league for assists. They face approximately 12.6 turnovers and accumulate 19.0 fouls per contest.

Defensively, OKC forces 16.7 turnovers per game while committing 20.4 personal fouls. They rank 5th in allowing assists to opponents, with 2,046 given up this season. Their defense allows a shooting percentage of 43.7% against (3,170 of 7,247) and concedes 45.2 rebounds per game. They allow 36.9% shooting from three-point range and are 2nd in points allowed per game (107.9).

The Suns will need to improve their performance on both sides of the ball following their Game 2 defeat. They totaled 44 rebounds, combining 15 offensive and 29 defensive boards, but also committed 22 turnovers while achieving 7 steals. The Thunder’s 21 fouls granted the Suns 22 free throw attempts, converting 18 for an 81.8% shooting rate. Phoenix managed to hit 11 of their 31 three-point attempts (35.5%) and shot 45.9% overall (39 of 85). They allowed the Thunder to connect on 47.3% of their shots and permitted Oklahoma City 40 rebounds (12 offensive).

Dillon Brooks made a significant impact for the Suns, scoring 30 points on 12 of 23 shooting (52.2%) while pulling down 6 rebounds and making 1 assist in 38 minutes of play.

Phoenix holds a 45-37 season record. On offense, the Suns are shooting 45.5% from the field, placing them 28th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 9,232 points (112.6 per game) and average 43.1 rebounds. They assist 24.6 times per contest (28th) and surrender 14.5 turnovers per game. The Suns commit 20.6 fouls on average and shoot 78.1% from the free-throw line.

On the defensive end, the Suns rank 6th in points allowed (111.1 per game), forcing 16.3 turnovers while permitting teams to shoot 47.0% from the field (15th). They allow 34.7% shooting from three-point range (998 of 2,876) and opponents convert 78.5% of their free throw attempts. Phoenix surrenders an average of 25.1 assists and 43.7 rebounds, ranking them 7th and 15th in the NBA, respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NBA battle against the spread?

Prediction: Take Phoenix (+9.0)

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Pick: Phoenix Suns (+9.0)
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