- Matchup: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: TSN5, Sportsnet
- Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+110) Maple Leafs (-124)
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The Toronto Maple Leafs are set to host the Ottawa Senators this Saturday at Scotiabank Arena. The odds for this exciting matchup have Ottawa at +110, while Toronto opens at -124. The total is projected at 6.5 goals.
After suffering a 4-2 defeat against the Hurricanes in their last outing, the Ottawa Senators are looking for a strong rebound. In that game, Ottawa was penalized for 14 minutes and struggled offensively, managing just 1 goal from 9 power play opportunities. Overall, they only managed to convert 2 of their 27 shot attempts into goals.
Last season, the Senators’ opponents had 236 power play chances (ranked 17th in the league), converting 57 of those opportunities into goals. Ottawa faced a total of 2,001 shots, resulting in a save percentage of .878. They attempted 2,369 shots, achieving an 11.6% shooting percentage. At even strength, the Senators conceded 188 goals while scoring 212. On the power play, they had 263 opportunities and scored 63 times, finishing with a power play percentage of 23.95%. The Senators wrapped up the season with 99 points, yielding a points percentage of .604, tallying 275 goals (8th in the league) against 245 given up.
In goal for the Senators is Linus Ullmark, who has played in 340 professional games. His career record stands at 191-99-34, with 330 of those as a starter. Ullmark has allowed 841 goals over his career, maintaining a goals against average of 2.55. He has faced 9,758 shots and made 8,917 saves, achieving a save percentage of .914 across 19,639 minutes on the ice. Ullmark has also recorded 207 quality starts, boasting a quality start percentage of .627.
In their last match, the Maple Leafs defeated the Islanders 2-1, scoring 1 goal on 4 power play attempts and hitting the target with 2 goals out of 26 shots taken.
Toronto achieved 210 goals at even strength and 42 power play goals (ranked 25th in the league). The Maple Leafs attempted 2,159 shots (23rd in the league) this past season, ending up with a shooting percentage of 11.67% while allowing 2,660 shots against. With 252 total goals and 78 points, they had a points percentage of .476, but conceded 295 goals throughout the season. Their power play performance included 197 chances, yielding a rate of 21.32%, and they successfully killed 81.22% of the penalties faced on 229 occasions, boasting a save percentage of 88.9%.
The Maple Leafs are expected to start Sergei Bobrovsky, who has made 21,043 saves on 23,068 shots, giving him a career save percentage of .912. With a record of 456-267-58, Bobrovsky has appeared in 807 games and started 792. He has logged 46,536 minutes in goal, with a quality start percentage of 57.4% from 455 quality starts, while allowing an average of 2.56 goals per game and a total of 2,025 goals.
Who is poised to win this thrilling NHL matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Toronto (-124) and the under 6.5 goals
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