- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: NBC
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+167) Atlanta (-204)
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On Tuesday, the Atlanta Braves (94-68) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) in Game 1 of their NL Wild Card series at Truist Park. Current odds place the Phillies at +167 and the Braves at -204, with a total set at 7 runs. Expected starters for this matchup include Jesus Luzardo and Chris Sale.
The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 246 doubles throughout the season and have hit 182 home runs. Currently, they hold a slugging percentage of .395 and have struck out 1,318 times while walking 529 times. As a team, the Phillies average 4.4 runs per game, ranking 19th in the league. They have recorded 691 RBIs, 1,301 total hits, and a batting average of .240, with 713 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .312.
The Phillies have achieved a team earned run average of 4.04 this season, ranking 11th in Major League Baseball, with their pitching staff tallying 1,577 strikeouts. They have allowed 191 home runs and a total of 698 earned runs. Their team’s FIP stands at 3.79, while they have walked 484 batters. Philadelphia pitchers have recorded 1,366 hits allowed (averaging 8.5 per 9 innings) and a WHIP of 1.29, resulting in a 3.26 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Relief pitchers have entered with runners on base 122 times and have made 158 appearances in crucial situations. The bullpen holds a total of 73 holds this season, ranking 26th in baseball, and have a save percentage of 64.6%. They have recorded 42 saves out of 140 opportunities, with 23 blown saves. The relievers inherited 171 runners, with 38.6% scoring for the opposing team. Overall, 531 relievers have taken the mound for the Phillies this year.
Fielding-wise, the Phillies have converted 67.8% of balls in play into outs across 12,945 innings, placing them 28th in the league. They have collected 4,315 putouts, 1,337 assists, and committed 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is .986, ranking them 14th in professional baseball, with a total of 105 double plays recorded.
Jesus Luzardo has pitched 874 innings, accumulating 996 strikeouts in his career. He holds a career ERA of 3.92 (allowing 381 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.210. Luzardo has allowed 769 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings) and issued 289 walks. His career win-loss record stands at 55-46, and he has faced 3,634 batters in the major leagues.
The Atlanta Braves have posted a team slugging percentage of .409, averaging 4.58 runs per game (9th in the league). They recorded 251 doubles, have drawn 465 walks, and scored 742 runs. With 204 home runs and 711 RBIs, they have struck out 1,310 times (21st in MLB) and accumulated 1,348 hits. Their team on-base percentage is .309, and their batting average is .246 for the season.
The Braves’ pitching staff has allowed 626 runs with an ERA of 3.63 (580 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 185 home runs and average 3.92 runs per 9 innings pitched, ranking 5th in MLB. Their WHIP sits at 1.243, accompanied by a FIP of 4.13. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio at 8.40 (1,350 strikeouts vs. 529 walks), they rank 6th in terms of total hits allowed, with 1,259.
The bullpen boasts a save percentage of 71.0%, with 499 pitchers used in the bullpen this season. They have made 175 appearances in critical situations and 119 times with runners on base. The Braves have had 180 save opportunities, achieving 106 holds and 20 blown saves. In 69 save chances, they’ve earned 49 saves, with an inherited score percentage of 20.9% from 172 inherited runners.
The Braves have a defensive efficiency rating of 71.5% over 12,942 innings, ranking 5th in baseball. They’ve completed 131 double plays and hold a .989 fielding percentage (5th in the league). Atlanta has recorded 1,348 assists, 65 errors, and a total of 4,314 putouts this season.
Throughout his career, Chris Sale has surrendered 1,821 hits while striking out 2,779 batters across 2,246 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 736 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.041 and a FIP of 2.9. Sale’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 5.36, having faced 9,037 batters throughout his professional career. His win-loss record stands at 159-97, with an ERA of 2.95, allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Expert Pick: Bet on Philadelphia (+167).
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