- Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-128) Baltimore (+106)
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This Sunday, the Baltimore Orioles (53-56) will be taking on the Philadelphia Phillies (57-52) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Philadelphia Phillies are favored at -128, while the Baltimore Orioles are positioned at +106. The total runs for this matchup are set at 8.5, with Zack Wheeler and Kyle Bradish slated as the starting pitchers.
The Philadelphia Phillies have an average of 4.3 runs per game, placing them 19th in Major League Baseball. So far, they have scored 473 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .303. The team has achieved 148 doubles and hit 138 home runs. This season, they have accumulated 457 RBIs and 863 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .236. The Phillies’ slugging percentage stands at .400, having struck out 966 times while earning 318 walks.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31 and has struck out batters at a rate of 3.33 K/BB. On the season, they have allowed 134 home runs and 488 total runs, ranking 15th in the league. With 948 hits allowed (averaging 8.8 per 9 innings), the Phillies have an earned run average (ERA) of 4.26, placing them 20th overall, and they’ve recorded 1,061 strikeouts. The staff has given up 319 walks, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) sits at 3.85.
Over the course of the season, the Phillies have turned to 363 relief pitchers, inheriting 115 base runners with 36.5% crossing home plate. Their bullpen has achieved 44 holds, yet they rank 26th in this metric. The relief squad has faced runners in scoring position 81 times and has appeared in high-pressure situations 93 times. They’ve recorded 29 saves from 41 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 70.7% in 87 situations.
Defensively, the Phillies convert 67.1% of balls hit into play into outs over 8,682 innings, ranking 29th in MLB. With 2,894 putouts, 895 assists, and 59 errors, their fielding percentage stands at .985, positioned 18th in the league, while executing 62 double plays.
As for Zack Wheeler, he has pitched 1,831 innings and has 1,943 strikeouts in his career. His career record stands at 123-77, with a FIP of 3.19, having faced 7,482 batters in Major League Baseball. His ERA is 3.24, with 659 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.125. He has given up 1,547 hits (7.6 per nine innings) and has 513 walks to his name.
The Baltimore Orioles have achieved a team OBP of .321 and a batting average of .237 this year. They rank 4th in the league with 1,001 strikeouts while totaling 864 hits. The Orioles have registered 127 home runs and 483 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .394 and averaging 4.60 runs per game, positioned 11th in MLB. They also have 163 doubles and obtained 423 walks, scoring a total of 501 runs.
Baltimore’s pitching unit has conceded 525 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.21 (with 455 earned runs). Allowing 118 home runs, they rank 23rd in MLB by yielding 4.86 runs per nine innings. Their WHIP stands at 1.345, and the staff’s FIP is calculated at 4.11. The strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.00, tallying 865 strikeouts and 366 walks, with the Orioles ranking 24th in total hits allowed at 943.
In terms of relief pitching, the Orioles have faced 100 save situations, recording 55 holds along with 16 blown saves. Their bullpen has succeeded in 27 of 43 save opportunities. With 135 inherited base runners, the inherited scoring percentage is 25.9%. Having entered 111 high-leverage situations and 102 situations with runners on base, the Orioles hold a save rate of 62.8% and have featured 359 bullpen pitchers throughout the season.
The Orioles have pulled off 79 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981, which ranks 27th in the league. They have achieved 946 assists, committed 73 errors, and registered 2,921 putouts this season. Their overall defensive efficiency is 68.9%, landing in the 26th spot in professional baseball after 8,763 innings played.
In his professional career, Bradish has surrendered 410 hits while accumulating 493 strikeouts over 475 innings. He has allowed 187 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.214 and a FIP of 3.5. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.95, with 1,970 opposing batters faced. Currently, Bradish holds a career record of 26-24, with a 3.54 earned run average and 7.8 hits allowed per nine innings.
Will Philadelphia cover the spread or win outright this evening?
Recommendation: Bet on Philadelphia (-128)
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