- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-196) Cincinnati (+162)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Philadelphia Phillies (50-41) are set to travel to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds (41-48). The odds for this matchup feature Philadelphia at -196, while Cincinnati is positioned at +162. The total runs are set at 8.5. On the mound, we’ll see Jesus Luzardo facing off against Chase Burns.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 17th in Major League Baseball. They have amassed a total of 403 runs and possess a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .304. The Phillies have recorded 123 doubles and hit 120 home runs. Over the course of the season, they’ve achieved 389 RBIs and 729 hits, resulting in a batting average of .238. Their slugging percentage stands at .404, and they have struck out 800 times while earning 268 walks.
For the season, the Phillies have achieved a team ERA of 4.25, placing them 16th in MLB, with their pitchers striking out 877 batters. They have allowed 105 home runs and given up 410 runs, ranking 18th overall. The pitching staff has issued 259 walks, and their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) is 3.73. Philadelphia has allowed 811 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and 381 of those were earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.39, with a collective WHIP of 1.33.
Phillies pitchers have faced runners on base 71 times and have made 80 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has registered 35 holds (27th in MLB) and earned a 72.2% save rate, managing 73 save opportunities. They’ve secured 26 saves this season but have also seen 10 blown saves out of 36 chances. With 96 inherited runners, 35.4% have scored. This season, Philadelphia has deployed 305 relief pitchers.
The Phillies have completed 2,422 putouts, registered 753 assists, and committed 45 errors for a fielding percentage of .986—ranking 14th in the league. They have managed 48 double plays and turned 66.6% of balls put into play into outs over 7,266 defensive innings, positioning them 29th in MLB.
Pitcher Luzardo has thrown 798 innings with a total of 900 strikeouts. He holds a career ERA of 4.14, allowing 367 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.248. Luzardo has given up 726 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 270 walks. His career win-loss record stands at 48-45, with a FIP of 4.08, having faced 3,341 batters in the majors.
The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .309 and a batting average of .228 this season. They’ve struck out 834 times (ranking 3rd league-wide) and accumulated 679 hits. With 107 home runs and 353 RBIs, their slugging percentage sits at .388, averaging 4.18 runs per game, which is 22nd in MLB. Their stats also include 142 doubles, with 332 walks, resulting in a total of 372 runs.
The Reds’ pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.456 and a FIP of 4.98, showcasing a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (715 strikeouts vs. 402 walks). They rank 21st in allowing hits, having given up 751, including 121 home runs, and yielding 4.91 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). Overall, they have allowed 432 runs this year with an ERA of 4.57 (402 earned runs).
Currently, the Reds are ranked 25th in save percentage at 55.3% and have called 319 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have faced high leverage situations 111 times and appeared with runners on base 103 times. In 90 save opportunities, they’ve secured 51 holds and recorded 17 blown saves. They’ve achieved 21 saves from 38 chances, with an inherited score rate of 24.6% for 142 inherited runners.
Cincinnati has completed 65 double plays and earns a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in the majors). They have registered 735 assists, made 49 errors, and achieved 2,376 putouts this campaign. With 7,128 innings played, the Reds’ defensive efficiency stands at 70.3% (12th in the majors).
In his MLB career, Burns has allowed 115 hits with 183 strikeouts over 140 innings pitched. Holding a career record of 10-4, he sports a 3.08 ERA, permitting 7.4 hits per nine innings. Burns has allowed 48 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.0, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.89, having faced 578 batters thus far.
Who do you think will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Philadelphia (-196)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
