- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Bets/Odds: Philadelphia (-160) Miami (+132)
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The Miami Marlins (53-54) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-50) at LoanDepot Park on Wednesday. The betting line for this matchup features the Phillies at -160 and the Marlins at +132, with the total set at 8.5 runs. Jesus Luzardo and Ryan Gusto are slated to take the mound as the starting pitchers for their respective teams.
The Philadelphia Phillies are boasting a slugging percentage of .402 and recorded 952 strikeouts along with 313 walks this season. They have tallied 451 runs batted in and 851 hits, maintaining a batting average of .237. As a team, they have earned 146 doubles and hit 137 home runs, scoring a total of 467 runs with an on-base percentage of .304. The Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the MLB.
This season, the Phillies’ pitching staff has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.25, placing them 19th in the league, and has struck out a total of 1,049 batters. They have allowed 131 home runs and 479 runs so far, sitting in 16th place in total runs allowed. Their pitchers have a FIP of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.31 with 933 hits allowed (8.9 per 9 innings) and 448 earned runs. The Phillies have demonstrated a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.39 this year.
The bullpen has utilized 358 pitchers, who have inherited 111 runners, with 36% of them scoring. The relief staff has accumulated 44 holds this season, placing them 26th in the league. They’ve faced opposition with runners on base 79 times and have appeared in 90 high-leverage situations, achieving 29 saves out of 40 chances, which translates to a save percentage of 72.5%.
In the field, the Philadelphia Phillies have recorded 2,846 putouts, 876 assists, and made 58 errors, resulting in a fielding rate of .985, good for 19th in the MLB. They have completed 59 double plays and converted 67% of balls in play into outs over 8,538 innings, ranking them 29th in the league.
Starting pitcher Luzardo has logged 817 innings with 927 strikeouts in his career, holding a 50-46 win-loss record. He has a FIP of 4.00 and an ERA of 4.06, allowing 369 earned runs while facing 3,413 batters, and has a WHIP of 1.233 along with 733 hits allowed (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 275 walks.
The Miami Marlins have hit 109 home runs this season, contributing to 453 runs batted in alongside 178 doubles. With 355 walks and a total of 472 runs, they carry an on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .251. The Marlins’ slugging percentage stands at .407, and they score approximately 4.41 runs per game, positioning them 17th in the MLB. They have struck out 878 times (19th in the MLB) and collected 894 hits.
As a team, the Marlins have a WHIP of 1.260 and a FIP of 4.07, ranking 5th in allowed hits with 818. Their pitching staff has surrendered 469 runs this season, maintaining an ERA of 4.11 (429 earned runs) and showcasing a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.60 (896 strikeouts against 366 walks). They have allowed 109 home runs, yielding 4.49 runs per 9 innings, which is 13th in the league.
This season, the Marlins have been in 101 save situations, resulting in 61 holds and 15 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have faced 38 save chances, successfully converting 23 saves. Miami’s bullpen has inherited 136 runners, allowing 22.1% to score, with 102 high-leverage appearances and 93 situations with runners on base. They rank 18th in the MLB with a save percentage of 60.5% and have used 344 relief pitchers throughout the season.
Defensively, over 8,460 innings, the Miami Marlins have an efficiency rate of 70.5% (10th in the majors). They’ve achieved 81 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .982, which is 26th in the league, with 886 assists, 69 errors, and 2,820 putouts.
In his MLB tenure, Gusto has allowed 148 hits, striking out 128 across 135 innings pitched. He holds a career record of 7-9, with an earned run average of 5.39 and 9.9 hits allowed per 9 innings. He has given up 81 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.442, and maintains a FIP of 5.30. Gusto’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.72 as he has faced 604 batters throughout his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Forecast: Consider Philadelphia (-160)
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