- Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-196) New York (+162)
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This Thursday, the New York Mets (69-82) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (83-68) at Citi Field. The betting odds indicate Philadelphia at -196 while New York stands at +162. The total for this matchup is set at 8 runs, with Aaron Nola and Nolan McLean likely to take the mound.
The Phillies have an overall slugging percentage of .400 and have struck out 1,243 times this season, juxtaposed with 474 walks. They’ve accumulated 658 RBIs alongside 1,225 hits, maintaining a .242 batting average. As a team, they’ve recorded 224 doubles and 177 home runs. Philadelphia has scored 678 runs and holds an on-base percentage (OBP) of .311. Currently, the Phillies average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 14th in the league.
The Phillies’ pitching staff boasts a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.01, ranking them 11th in Major League Baseball (MLB), and they have struck out 1,468 batters. They have allowed 180 home runs and surrendered 650 runs (10th in the league). With 452 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.82 this season. Philadelphia has yielded 1,270 hits (8.5 per nine innings) along with 598 earned runs, illustrating a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.25 and a collective WHIP of 1.28.
Throughout the year, the Phillies have used 495 relievers, with 154 inherited runners and a 37.0% scoring rate for those runners. Their bullpen has recorded 69 holds this season (26th in MLB), and relievers have faced 113 inherited runners in critical situations, accumulating 39 saves out of 62 opportunities. Their save conversion rate is currently at 62.9% within 133 save situations.
In the field, the Phillies have converted 67.9% of balls put in play into outs over 12,072 innings, placing them 28th in MLB. Totalling 4,024 putouts, they also have 1,248 assists and 77 errors, equating to a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in professional baseball), while they’ve completed 96 double plays this season.
Aaron Nola has pitched 1,876 innings throughout his career, striking out 2,041 hitters, and owns a career record of 115-99. With a FIP of 3.85, he has faced 7,729 opposing batters, maintaining a 3.90 ERA (allowing 814 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.168. Nola has given up 1,688 hits (8.1 per nine innings) and issued 504 walks.
The New York Mets have a team slugging percentage of .395, averaging 4.30 runs per game (ranking 21st). They’ve recorded 195 doubles and 649 runs this season, alongside hitting 190 home runs and adding 620 RBIs. The Mets have struck out 1,272 times (13th in MLB) and totaled 1,213 hits, with a .238 batting average and a .309 OBP.
The Mets’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.299 and a FIP of 4.07 this season. They’re 16th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,231) and have allowed 686 runs with an ERA of 4.16 (622 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 9.10, with 1,355 strikeouts against 516 walks. They’ve given up 173 home runs and allow 4.59 runs per nine innings (18th in MLB).
With a save percentage of 60.4%, the Mets have used 470 bullpen pitchers this year. Their bullpen has faced 156 high-leverage situations and has entered 137 times with runners on base. Currently, New York has been called upon to save 120 times, recording 68 holds and 19 blown saves. They’ve notched 29 saves out of 48 save opportunities, with a 28.1% inherited scoring percentage from 192 inherited runners.
The Mets have a defensive efficiency rating of 69.4% over 12,111 innings, placing them 19th in professional baseball. With 92 double plays, they hold a .983 fielding percentage (25th in pro baseball) and have registered 1,170 assists, 90 errors, and 4,037 putouts this season.
In his career, Nolan McLean has allowed 164 hits and struck out 241 batters over 214 innings pitched. With a career record of 16-10, McLean has a 2.98 ERA, yielding 6.9 hits per nine innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 71 earned runs, demonstrating a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 2.9, along with a K/BB ratio of 2.94 against 883 batters faced during his professional career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s clash, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Choose New York (+162)
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