Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Outlook, 6/22/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Outlook, 6/22/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
  • Scheduled Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
  • Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
  • Broadcast: Nationals.TV
  • Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-160) Washington (+132)

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The Washington Nationals (39-37) are set to host the Philadelphia Phillies (40-35) at Nationals Park this Monday. The betting lines favor the Phillies at -160, while the Nationals are listed at +132. The total runs expected for this matchup is 9. Anticipated starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies and Foster Griffin for the Nationals.

MLB Predictions: Best Bets for Alec Bohm, Philadelphia Phillies

This season, the Phillies have recorded 95 doubles and hit 93 home runs collectively. Their team slugging percentage stands at .387, and they have 647 strikeouts against 223 walks. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, the Phillies rank 23rd in the league. They’ve secured 299 RBIs and amassed 574 hits, holding a batting average of .229. They’ve scored 308 runs with an on-base percentage of .298.

The Phillies hold a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.38, and their pitching squad boasts a collective WHIP of 1.31. The pitching staff has allowed 83 home runs and has given up 328 runs overall (ranking 13th in the league). Philadelphia has let go 664 hits (9.0 per nine innings) and has 304 earned runs incurred. Their current team ERA sits at 4.10 (13th in MLB), with a total of 703 strikeouts. As a unit, they have issued 208 walks, resulting in a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 3.67 this season.

Throughout the season, the Phillies have utilized 249 relief pitchers, with 76 runners inherited by relievers, 31.6% of whom have scored. The bullpen has achieved 30 holds (26th in the league). This season, Phillies’ relievers have entered high-leverage situations 65 times and 60 instances with runners on base. They’ve managed to record 23 saves but have missed 7 out of 30 save opportunities, resulting in a 76.7% save percentage in 61 save situations.

The Phillies have successfully converted 67.0% of balls hit into play into outs across 6,006 innings, ranking them 29th in professional baseball. They have recorded 2,002 putouts, 635 assists, and 36 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 (15th overall) while executing 44 double plays.

Luzardo has pitched for 780 innings with 872 strikeouts during his MLB journey. With a career record of 47-45, Luzardo holds a FIP of 4.13, facing 3,268 batters. His ERA stands at 4.20, allowing 364 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.252. He has permitted 713 bases hits (averaging 8.2 hits per nine innings) alongside 264 walks.

The Washington Nationals hold a collective on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .247 this season. They have struck out 614 times (19th in the league) and accumulated 641 hits. The Nationals have hit 98 home runs with 388 RBIs, currently averaging 5.38 runs per game (leading the MLB). They’ve achieved 129 doubles while earning 257 walks and scoring 409 runs.

This season, the Nationals’ pitching staff has yielded 397 runs, with a team ERA of 4.66 (354 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 109 home runs and give up 5.23 runs per nine innings (27th in the league). The Nationals are at a WHIP of 1.386 alongside a FIP of 4.86. Their team’s K/BB ratio stands at 7.60 (578 strikeouts to 271 walks), ranking them 27th in baseball for total hits allowed with 676.

In 84 save opportunities, the Nationals have achieved 38 holds and recorded 19 blown saves. Their relievers have been called to the mound in 41 save situations, successfully tallying 22 saves. The bullpen’s inherited scoring percentage is 44.4%, facing 108 inherited base runners. They’ve entered high-pressure situations 80 times and 73 times with runners on base, ranking 24th in MLB with a save percentage of 53.7%. A total of 243 bullpen pitchers have participated this season.

Throughout 6,153 innings, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (21st in professional baseball). They have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .978 (30th in MLB). Currently, the Nationals have accomplished 685 assists, made 62 errors, and achieved a total of 2,051 putouts for the season.

In his career, Griffin has allowed 77 hits and has achieved 85 strikeouts in 92 innings, permitting 37 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.141 along with a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.04 as he’s faced 385 batters in Major League Baseball. Griffin holds an 8-2 record in his career with a 3.62 ERA, allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB game, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?

Choice: Take Washington (+132) and the under on 9 runs

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Pick: Washington Nationals (+132) and the under on 9 runs
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