Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Insight, 8/11/2026 WNBA Analysis, Picks, and Odds

Home » Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Insight, 8/11/2026 WNBA Analysis, Picks, and Odds

  • Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks
  • Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
  • Venue: Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA
  • Broadcast: WNBA League Pass

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The Phoenix Mercury (12-21) make their way to Galen Center on Tuesday to clash with the Los Angeles Sparks (12-18).

In their previous encounter, the Phoenix Mercury faced off against the Connecticut Sun, suffering a narrow defeat with a final score of 75-72. The Mercury managed a 39.7% field goal percentage, hitting 27 of 68 attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, making only 5 of their 28 three-point shots. They also had a challenging night at the free-throw line, converting just 13 of their 23 attempts, resulting in a 56.5% success rate. On the boards, Phoenix secured 29 rebounds, including 6 on the offensive end, and dished out 19 assists while committing 18 turnovers and securing 10 steals. Defensively, they allowed Connecticut to shoot 47.4% from the field, as the Sun shot 27 of 57. Connecticut recorded 3 assists and 5 steals during the contest, grabbing a total of 34 rebounds (3 offensive, 31 defensive) and registering 5 blocks. The Sun also shot 70.0% from the free-throw line, making 14 of 20 attempts, and successfully hit 7 of 20 from deep.

WNBA predictions and picks for Kelsey Plum and the Phoenix Mercury

Kelsey Plum emerged as a standout player in this contest, finishing with 25 points on 9 of 16 shooting and logging 28 minutes on the court. However, she didn’t record any rebounds but contributed with 3 assists, achieving a shooting percentage of 56.3%.

As of this matchup, Phoenix holds a win-loss record of 12-21 for the season. The Mercury are hitting 31.9% of their three-point attempts (252 of 791) and maintain a free-throw success rate of 78.3%. Their scoring average stands at 83.8 points per game (11th in the league), shooting 44.2% from the field. The team averages 12.7 turnovers and 18.4 fouls per game. Collectively, Phoenix grabs 31.3 rebounds per outing and has accumulated 654 assists, placing them 10th in the league for assists. Defensively, the Mercury force 13.1 turnovers per game while committing an average of 21.8 personal fouls. Opponents are shooting 37.0% from three-point range against them, while Phoenix ranks 8th in points per game allowed (87.3). The team is surrendering a field goal percentage of 46.3% (432 of 719) and averaging 33.9 rebounds allowed per game. They currently sit at 13th in the WNBA for assists allowed, conceding a total of 709 this season.

In their last matchup, the Los Angeles Sparks secured a win, defeating the Minnesota Lynx 89-82. The Sparks recorded 25 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards, summing up to 35 total rebounds. They had 13 turnovers but managed to earn 6 steals throughout the game. The Lynx committed 22 fouls, leading to 16 free-throw attempts for the Sparks, who converted 12 for a 75.0% success rate. From the perimeter, Los Angeles nailed 9 of 24 shots (37.5%). The Sparks concluded the game shooting 50.0% from the field, going 34 for 68. On defense, they allowed the Lynx to make 31 of 73 field-goal attempts, resulting in a 42.5% shooting success for the opposition. Los Angeles allowed Minnesota to hit 31.0% from three-point territory, managing 9 out of 29 attempts, while achieving 11 out of 13 success at the free-throw line (84.6%). Overall, they gave up 35 rebounds (14 offensive) to Minnesota.

Rae Burrell significantly contributed for the Sparks, finishing with 17 points on 5 of 11 shooting (45.5%) in 28 minutes of play, along with 2 rebounds and 2 assists.

Los Angeles currently stands at 12-18 for the season, having scored a total of 2,687 points (89.6 per game). They average 31.1 rebounds per game and commit 19.9 personal fouls per game, with a free-throw success rate of 79.1%. Offensively, the Sparks are shooting 46.7% from the field, ranking 4th in the WNBA. They average 22.2 assists per game (2nd in the league) and have 14.3 turnovers. Defensively, Los Angeles ranks 15th in points allowed per game, giving up 93.9. They allow opponents to connect on 34.7% of their three-point attempts (287 of 826) and 79.6% from the free-throw line. The Sparks concede an average of 22.6 assists and 35.0 total rebounds per game, ranking 14th and 13th in these categories, respectively. They are forcing an average of 13.7 turnovers and allow opposing teams to shoot 47.9% from the field (14th in the league).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA face-off against the spread?

Prediction: Take Phoenix

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Pick: Phoenix Mercury
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