Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Preview, 4/11/2026 MLB Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Preview, 4/11/2026 MLB Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs
  • Scheduled Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • Broadcast: Marquee
  • Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-275) Chicago (+220)

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (7-5) are heading to Wrigley Field this Saturday to face off against the Chicago Cubs (6-6). The betting line reflects the Pirates at -275 and the Cubs at +220, with a total set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for the match will be Braxton Ashcraft and Edward Cabrera.

MLB Predictions for Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates Best Bets and Odds

The Pirates have achieved a slugging percentage of .383 and recorded 101 strikeouts against 53 walks. They boast 54 RBIs and 100 hits this season, resulting in a team batting average of .247. Overall, the Pirates have 19 doubles and 12 home runs, scoring 54 runs with an on-base percentage of .338. They average 4.5 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league.

The Pirates’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.31, and the pitching staff has produced a WHIP of 1.30. They have allowed 9 home runs and 48 total runs (ranked 12th in the league). With 88 hits yielded (7.3 per 9 innings) and 40 earned runs, their earned run average is at 3.33, placing them 8th overall in MLB. The pitching staff has struck out 120 hitters while issuing 52 walks, resulting in a FIP of 3.60 for the season.

The Pirates have utilized 43 relievers this year, with 15 runners inherited by the bullpen, of which 13.3% scored. They’ve recorded 9 leads in holds, ranking 9th in the league. The relief pitchers have stepped in during 11 tight situations, managing 2 saves from 3 opportunities, and thus far, their save rate lies at 66.7% across 12 save scenarios.

Pittsburgh has registered 324 putouts this season, along with 88 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .986, positioning them 15th in professional baseball, while they’ve turned 9 double plays. The Pirates convert 69.8% of balls in play into outs over 972 innings, ranking 14th in the league.

Ashcraft has pitched 81 innings, accumulating 82 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 5-5, he holds a FIP of 2.62, having faced 338 major league hitters. His earned run average is 2.66 (24 earned runs), and he possesses a WHIP of 1.219, allowing 71 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 28 walks.

On the other hand, the Cubs have hit 13 home runs this season, tallying 51 RBIs. They’ve hit 18 doubles while drawing 51 walks, resulting in 56 runs. The Cubs have a .312 on-base percentage alongside a .223 batting average. Their slugging percentage is .368, yielding an average of 4.67 runs per game (10th in the league). They’ve registered 102 strikeouts (17th in MLB) with 87 hits accumulated.

For the season, the Chicago pitching staff has allowed 44 runs with a team ERA of 3.43 (40 earned runs). They have given up 13 home runs and yield 3.77 runs per 9 innings (10th overall). Their WHIP is 1.124 and they hold a FIP of 4.30 as a team this season, boasting a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (92 strikeouts to 39 walks). They rank 4th in total hits allowed, having conceded 79 hits.

With 6 save situations, the Cubs have recorded 1 hold alongside 3 blown saves. They have called their bullpen 5 times in save scenarios, achieving 2 successful saves. Chicago’s inherited score percentage stands at 31.8%, with 22 runners inherited. Their relief pitchers have appeared in 10 high leverage situations and have been called in 13 times with runners on base. They currently rank 27th in MLB with a save rate of 40.0%, fielding 36 bullpen pitchers this season.

The Chicago Cubs have managed 9 double plays, boasting a .991 fielding percentage (8th in MLB). They have accrued 112 assists, 4 errors, and a total of 315 putouts during the current season. Their defensive efficiency is at 75.1%, placing them 2nd in professional baseball over 945 innings.

Throughout his career, Cabrera has allowed 351 hits with 487 strikeouts over 442 innings pitched. He holds a career record of 26-29 with a 3.97 earned run average, permitting 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 195 earned runs, and his WHIP is 1.295, with a FIP of 3.9. Cabrera maintains a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and has faced 1,885 hitters throughout his career.

Which team will emerge victorious this evening in MLB action, both against the spread and straight up?

Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (-275)

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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (-275)
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