- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox
- Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026
- Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
- TV Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-145) Chicago (+125)
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On Thursday, the Chicago White Sox (75-68) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (71-73) at Rate Field. The moneyline for this matchup has the Pirates at -145, while the White Sox are positioned at +125. The total runs for the game are set at 8.5, with Jared Jones and Luis Castillo taking the mound as the starting pitchers.
The Pirates are currently posting a slugging percentage of .401 and have recorded 1,362 strikeouts, drawing walks 513 times. This season, they’ve notched 661 RBIs and 1,245 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .252. Collectively, the Pirates have achieved 215 doubles and launched 165 home runs. They’ve put up 694 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .330, ranking 5th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs scored per game.
The team’s K/BB ratio stands at 2.51, while the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Pirates pitchers have allowed 139 home runs and 668 runs total (20th in the league). They’ve conceded 1,153 hits (averaging 8.1 per 9 innings) and 597 earned runs, leading to an average ERA of 4.18 this season (17th in the league), with 1,322 strikeouts recorded. They have issued 527 walks, and their FIP is 3.85 this season.
Throughout the season, the Pirates have utilized 468 relief pitchers. Their bullpen has inherited 175 runners, with a scoring rate of 32.6%. Relief pitchers have earned 64 holds this season (26th in the league) and have appeared with runners on base 121 times, including 134 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has successfully recorded 31 saves out of 53 opportunities, resulting in a 58.5% save rate from 119 situations.
Defensively, the Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs over 11,577 innings, placing them 26th in the league. They have recorded 3,859 putouts, 1,144 assists, and 90 errors, notching a fielding percentage of .982 (ranked 26th in professional baseball) and turning 116 double plays.
Starting pitcher Jared Jones, who has a career record of 9-14, has a FIP of 4.22 and has faced 837 batters. He has surrendered 175 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings) along with 67 walks. His earned run average stands at 4.29 after allowing 95 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.214, spanning 199 innings and accumulating 224 strikeouts during his career.
The White Sox, on the other hand, have a slugging percentage of .407, averaging 4.76 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have hit 227 doubles, drawn 517 walks, and scored a total of 680 runs. For the season, Chicago has launched 188 home runs and accrued 649 RBIs. They have struck out 1,303 times (6th in the league) and currently have 1,136 hits, posting an OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .237.
This season, the White Sox’s pitching staff has allowed 631 runs with an ERA of 4.11 (582 earned runs allowed). They’ve given up 161 home runs and average 4.46 runs over 9 innings (14th in the league). The team holds a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 4.27. Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (1,192 strikeouts to 514 walks), ranking 11th in the league for total hits allowed (1,146).
The bullpen for the White Sox has a 29.8% inherited runner scoring rate from 228 inherited runners. They have seen high-pressure situations 142 times and appeared 156 times with runners on base. With 121 save opportunities, they’ve achieved 55 holds and 26 blown saves this season, currently sitting at 20th in the league with a 58.7% save rate, using 476 bullpen pitchers throughout the year.
On defense, the White Sox have turned 95 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in MLS). They recorded 1,160 assists, made 73 errors, and have 3,822 putouts so far this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6%, ranking 12th in MLB across 11,466 innings.
Throughout his MLB career, Castillo has permitted 1,245 hits while recording 1,516 strikeouts over 1,436 innings. He has given up 579 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.188 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.29, having faced 5,948 hitters so far. Castillo holds an 85-86 career record with a 3.63 ERA and allows 7.8 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will emerge victorious tonight in this MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Back Pittsburgh (-145)
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