- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Odds: Pittsburgh (-130) Cincinnati (+110)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-54) head to Great American Ball Park this Friday to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (50-57). The current moneyline for this matchup features the Pirates at -130 and the Reds at +110, with an over/under set at 9 runs. Expected starting pitchers are Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh and Hunter Greene for Cincinnati.
As it stands, the Pirates are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking them 3rd in Major League Baseball. They’ve accumulated 563 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .336. This season, the Pirates have recorded a total of 173 doubles and 137 home runs, bringing their runs batted in (RBIs) to 538 with 985 hits overall. Their current batting average sits at .260, complemented by a slugging percentage of .420, with 1,029 strikeouts and 395 walks.
This season, the Pirates boast a team ERA of 4.28, placing them 21st in the league, while their pitchers have fanned 1,004 batters. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has surrendered 111 home runs and allowed 526 runs total, ranking 23rd. They’ve walked 386 hitters, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) is at 3.90. The Pirates have given up 897 hits this season (8.3 hits per 9 innings) alongside 465 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.60, resulting in a WHIP of 1.31.
The Pirates’ pitchers have entered with runners on base 99 times, participating in 101 high-leverage situations. Their bullpen has recorded 47 holds (25th in MLB) and converted 52.5% of save opportunities, with 21 saves out of 88 attempts. So far, 137 inherited base runners have been faced by the bullpen, with 30.7% of them scoring. The Pirates have utilized 347 relief pitchers this year.
The Pirates have managed to turn 68.7% of balls in play into outs during their 8,802 innings, ranking them 27th in the league. They’ve achieved 2,934 putouts, 854 assists, and 65 errors, resulting in a .983 fielding percentage (22nd in Major League Baseball), with 86 double plays recorded.
Paul Skenes has pitched 440 innings in his professional career, amassing 535 strikeouts and holding a career win-loss record of 30-22. With a FIP of 2.40, he has faced 1,737 MLB batters, showcasing an ERA of 2.43 (119 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 0.981. Over his tenure, he has allowed 330 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings), alongside 102 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds are achieving a slugging percentage of .395, averaging 4.11 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have logged 156 doubles and drawn 382 walks, totaling 440 runs. This season, they’ve hit 139 home runs and garnered 420 RBIs, yet they rank third in the league with 1,014 strikeouts and accumulated 821 hits. The Reds currently possess an OBP of .307, with a season batting average of .229.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.419 and a team FIP of 4.82 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.10 (856 strikeouts vs. 460 walks), ranking them 20th in the league for total hits allowed (891). With 139 home runs given up, they yield 4.82 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB), while allowing 510 runs this season with an ERA of 4.43 (469 earned runs).
The Reds’ bullpen has a scoring rate of 26.7% from inherited runners out of 172 opportunities. They’ve pitched in 129 high-leverage situations and 121 times with runners on base. With 104 save chances, the Reds have recorded 59 holds and 17 blown saves, placing them 18th in MLB with a save rate of 60.5%. They’ve used 381 relievers this season.
Over 8,568 innings of play, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in professional baseball). They’ve turned 76 double plays with a .984 fielding percentage (18th in MLB), totaling 873 assists, 59 errors, and 2,856 putouts for the season.
Hunter Greene, with a career win-loss record of 27-31, has an ERA of 3.80, allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.47, having faced 2,154 batters to date. He has permitted 218 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.150 and a FIP of 3.7. Greene has conceded 408 hits while tallying 646 strikeouts over 516 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cincinnati (+110)
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