- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
- Event Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-150), Cincinnati (+125)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-55) are set to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (51-57) at Great American Ball Park this Saturday. The moneyline currently has Pittsburgh favored at -150, while Cincinnati is priced at +125. The over/under for this matchup is established at 8.5 runs. Pitching duties are expected to be handled by Braxton Ashcraft for the Pirates and Andrew Abbott for the Reds.
This season, the Pirates have hit 175 doubles and smashed 138 home runs. Pittsburgh boasts a slugging percentage of .419 and has accumulated 1,039 strikeouts along with 397 walks. The team averages 5.1 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league. They’ve secured 540 RBIs and tallied 992 hits, resulting in a batting average of .259 and a collective on-base percentage of .336.
The Pirates have a team ERA of 4.26, ranking 21st in the league, and their pitchers have struck out 1,016 batters. The bullpen has yielded 111 home runs and allowed 529 runs in total (23rd in MLB). With 395 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.89 for the season. Pittsburgh has given up 905 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 467 earned runs, boasting a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.32.
The Pirates’ bullpen holds a save percentage of 52.5%, having been called upon in 88 save opportunities, successfully converting 21 saves and failing in 19. They’ve inherited 137 runners, with 30.7% of them scoring. This season, relief pitchers have entered with men on base 99 times in high-pressure situations, and 351 different relievers have appeared on the mound. They’ve also accumulated 47 holds, ranking 25th overall.
Defensively, the Pirates have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs over 8,880 innings, which positions them at 27th in MLB. They’ve recorded 2,960 putouts, 862 assists, and 66 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .983, 22nd in the majors, with 87 double plays turned.
Ashcraft has pitched 191 innings, recording 206 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. Sporting a career record of 14-8, he holds a FIP of 3.52, having faced 799 batters, with an ERA of 3.58 (76 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.213. He has allowed 178 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and issued 54 walks.
The Reds have a team on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .230 this season. They’ve struck out 1,026 times (3rd in MLB) and accumulated 830 hits. With 139 home runs and 423 runs batted in, Cincinnati’s slugging percentage is .395, averaging 4.10 runs per game (27th in the league). They’ve also recorded 160 doubles, 391 walks, and 443 total runs scored.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.414 and a collective FIP of 4.80 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.10 (866 strikeouts to 462 walks) and they rank 17th in MLB for total hits allowed (897). They’ve surrendered 140 home runs and permit 4.80 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league), with a total of 512 runs allowed and a team ERA of 4.41 (471 earned runs).
The Reds’ relievers have inherited 172 runners, with an inherited score rate of 26.7%. They’ve appeared in 132 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 121 times. In 104 save opportunities, they have achieved 59 holds but incurred 17 blown saves. Their 60.5% save rate places them 18th in the league, while 384 relief pitchers have been used this season.
Cincinnati’s defense has turned 76 double plays and has a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in MLB). They’ve made 876 assists, committed 60 errors, and recorded 2,883 putouts, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.6% over their 8,649 innings played (11th in the majors).
In his MLB journey, Abbott has allowed 483 hits while striking out 477 batters in 530 innings. With a career record of 33-29, his earned run average is 3.51, having given up 8.2 hits per nine innings and 207 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.47, and he has faced 2,234 hitters in his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, whether against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (-150)
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