- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-150) Cincinnati (+125)
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This Sunday, the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-55) will visit Great American Ball Park to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (51-57). The current betting line places Pittsburgh at -150, while Cincinnati stands at +125. The total score is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers anticipated for this matchup are Mitch Keller and Chase Burns.
The Pirates boast a slugging percentage of .419 with 1,039 strikeouts and 397 walks recorded. They have notched up 540 RBIs and 992 hits this season, leading to a team batting average of .259. Pittsburgh has hit 175 doubles and homered 138 times, totaling 565 runs and maintaining an on-base percentage of .336. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Pirates rank 4th in the league.
As for pitching, the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.26, ranking 21st in the league. Their pitchers have struck out 1,016 batters and allowed 111 home runs, giving up a total of 529 runs (23rd in MLB). They have walked 395 batters, with a team FIP of 3.89. In 9 innings, Pirates pitchers have yielded 905 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 467 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.57, and the team WHIP is at 1.32.
Pirates relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 99 times and have made 103 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has recorded 47 holds this season (25th in MLB) and a save percentage of 52.5%. They have faced 88 save opportunities, successfully converting 21 saves while failing in 19 of 40 chances. Out of 137 inherited runners, 30.7% have scored, with 351 relievers utilized this year.
Defensively, the Pirates have achieved 2,960 putouts, 862 assists, and 66 errors this season. Their fielding percentage is .983, placing them 22nd in MLB, alongside 87 double plays. They have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs, standing at 27th in the majors over 8,880 innings.
Mitch Keller has pitched 991 innings, recording 924 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 48-72, he has a FIP of 4.48 after facing 4,305 batters. His career ERA is 4.55 (501 earned runs), and his WHIP is 1.374, having allowed 1,025 hits (9.3 per nine innings) and 337 walks.
The Reds, meanwhile, have a team slugging percentage of .395, averaging 4.10 runs per game (ranked 27th). This year, they have landed 160 doubles, taken 391 walks, and scored 443 runs. Cincinnati has hit 139 home runs and compiled 423 RBIs while striking out 1,026 times (3rd in the league), with a team batting average of .230 and an on-base percentage of .309.
The Reds’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.414 and a FIP of 4.80. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.10, with 866 strikeouts against 462 walks. Defensively ranked 17th in terms of hits allowed, they have given up 897 hits, including 140 home runs, yielding 4.80 runs per nine innings (21st in MLB). Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 512 runs this season with a collective ERA of 4.41.
With a save percentage of 60.5%, the Reds have utilized 384 relief pitchers this season. Their relievers have made 132 high-leverage appearances and faced runners on base 121 times. With 104 save chances, they have recorded 59 holds and suffered 17 blown saves, converting 26 of 43 save opportunities. Their bullpen has inherited 172 runners, allowing 26.7% to score.
This season, the Reds have pitched 8,649 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in MLB). With a fielding percentage of .984 (20th), they have also turned 76 double plays, accumulating 876 assists, 60 errors, and 2,883 putouts throughout the year.
Chase Burns, in his professional career, has allowed 126 hits and struck out 195 batters over 155 innings. With a 12-4 career record, he maintains a 3.01 ERA while permitting 7.3 hits per nine innings. Burns has allowed 52 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.42, facing 643 batters thus far.
What are your predictions for tonight’s MLB game—will it be against the spread or straight up on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (-150)
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