- Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
- TV: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-150) Cleveland (+125)
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On Friday at Progressive Field, the Cleveland Guardians (51-46) will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (50-47). The odds favor the Pirates at -150, while the Guardians come in at +125. The game total is set at 8 runs, with Jared Jones and Gavin Williams set to take the mound.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are hitting .426 and have been struck out 907 times while drawing 363 walks. They have achieved 495 RBIs and amassed 886 hits this season, yielding a batting average of .263. The Pirates have recorded 154 doubles and launched 125 home runs, scoring 516 runs with an on-base percentage of .342. Collectively, the Pirates are scoring an impressive 5.3 runs per game, ranking them first in MLB.
With a K/BB ratio of 2.49, the Pirates’ pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. They have given up 103 home runs and a total of 472 runs (ranking 23rd). Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 787 hits (averaging 8.2 per 9 innings) and have a team ERA of 4.32 (20th in the league), accumulating 883 strikeouts. The staff has walked 355 batters, with a FIP of 4.03 for the season.
The Pirates’ bullpen maintains a save percentage of 52.8%, with 82 save opportunities resulting in 19 saves, but they have failed to convert 17 of their 36 chances. Relief pitchers faced 125 inherited runners, with 30.4% scoring. The Pirates’ bullpen has entered the game with runners on base 88 times and has made 89 high-leverage appearances, resulting in 310 pitching outings this season and 45 holds (22nd in MLB).
For the season, the Pirates have recorded 2,600 putouts, 765 assists, and 57 errors, achieving a .983 fielding percentage (21st in MLB) and turning 74 double plays. The team’s defensive efficiency stands at 69.2% from 7,800 innings on the field (23rd in professional baseball).
Jones has pitched 156 innings with 171 career strikeouts, registering a 4.21 ERA (73 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.184. He has allowed 135 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 50 walks, holding a career record of 7-9 and a FIP of 4.14 against 648 batters in the major leagues.
The Cleveland Guardians boast a team slugging percentage of .369 and an average of 3.97 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have recorded 147 doubles, 353 walks, and 385 runs this year, along with 93 home runs and 368 RBIs. They have struck out 810 times (12th in MLB) and accumulated 732 hits, with an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .229.
The Guardians maintain a team WHIP of 1.262 and a FIP of 3.97. They have a 9.10 K/BB ratio (870 strikeouts to 321 walks) and rank 10th in MLB for total hits allowed with 762. They have given up 110 home runs and allow 4.06 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB), with a total of 387 runs and a team ERA of 3.71 (with 354 earned runs).
The Guardians’ relief pitchers have allowed 23.9% of 142 inherited runners to score, and they have appeared in 123 high-leverage situations and 92 outings with runners on base. With 125 save situations, they have earned 83 holds and registered 9 blown saves, boasting a 78.0% save rate (2nd in MLB) and utilizing 326 relievers this season.
Cleveland has turned 66 double plays this season, achieving a .986 fielding percentage (15th in MLB), with 776 assists, 47 errors, and 2,576 putouts. In 7,728 innings on the diamond, they hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in professional baseball).
Williams (28-24 win-loss record) has a career ERA of 3.61, yielding an average of 7.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.47, and he has faced 1,841 opponents in his MLB career, allowing 176 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 3.6. So far, he has conceded 361 hits and recorded 467 strikeouts over 438 innings.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup, both against the spread and the moneyline?
Pick: Back Pittsburgh (-150)
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