- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins
- Event Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcasting: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-182) Miami (+150)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (58-61) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (59-59) at LoanDepot Park this Tuesday. The betting line favors the Pirates at -182, while the Marlins are positioned at +150. The total runs for this game are projected at 9. Starting pitchers are anticipated to be Paul Skenes and Eury Perez.
This season, the Pirates have recorded 186 doubles and hit 144 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .413, they’ve struck out 1,122 times while drawing 436 walks. The Pirates’ offense is generating an average of 5.1 runs per game, placing them 3rd in Major League Baseball. They have amassed 575 RBIs and 1,060 hits during the season, holding a batting average of .257. Overall, they’ve scored 601 runs and boast a team on-base percentage of .335.
The Pirates carry an earned run average of 4.29 this year, ranking 21st in the league, with 1,103 strikeouts recorded. Their pitchers have allowed 123 home runs and a total of 570 runs (24th in the league). They have allowed 430 walks, with a team FIP of 3.91. Pittsburgh’s staff has surrendered 971 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 506 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a cumulative WHIP of 1.32.
This season, the Pirates’ bullpen has a save conversion rate of 53.5% after appearing in 94 save situations, converting 23 saves from 43 attempts. The relief corps has inherited 142 base runners, with 32.4% scoring. They have entered games with opponents onboard 102 times and recorded 108 high-pressure appearances, with a total of 376 relief pitchers deployed throughout the season, securing 50 holds (25th in MLB).
Defensively, the Pirates have converted 68.7% of plays into outs over 9,564 innings, ranking them 27th in MLB. They have compiled 3,188 putouts, 931 assists, and committed 70 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983, positioning them at 23rd in professional baseball, alongside 93 double plays.
Paul Skenes has totaled 449 innings pitched in his career, recording 548 strikeouts with a 2.54 ERA (127 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 0.999. He allows 6.8 hits per 9 innings and has offered 110 walks, holding a FIP of 2.51 against 1,779 major league hitters. Skenes’ career record stands at 30-23.
The Marlins, on the other hand, possess a team slugging percentage of .403 and average 4.34 runs per game, ranking 18th in MLB. They have achieved 195 doubles, issued 394 walks, and scored 512 runs. With 118 home runs and 493 RBIs to their credit, Miami has struck out 954 times (21st in MLB) and accumulated a total of 979 hits. The team holds an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .250 this season.
Miami’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.247 and a combined FIP of 3.99. They rank 7th in MLB for fewest hits allowed (898) and have given up 506 runs with a collective ERA of 3.97 (457 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.60 (985 strikeouts against 393 walks), allowing 119 home runs and 4.40 runs per 9 innings, placing them 11th among MLB teams.
The Marlins’ bullpen has inherited 148 base runners, with a 22.3% scoring rate. They’ve pitched in high leverage situations 113 times and entered 101 times with runners aboard. With 111 save opportunities, the Marlins have secured 66 holds and experienced 15 blown saves. They are currently 15th in MLB for save conversions, with a success rate of 65.1%, and have utilized 377 relievers this season.
Defensively, Miami has recorded 88 double plays with a fielding percentage of .981, ranking 28th in MLB. They have 973 assists, 77 errors, and achieved 3,105 putouts throughout the year. In 9,315 innings, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6%, ranking 10th in baseball.
In his MLB career, Eury Perez has allowed 222 hits while striking out 334 batters over 295 innings. He has given up 121 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.107 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.18, facing 1,206 hitters in total. Perez has a career record of 17-21 with a 3.69 ERA, allowing 6.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+150)
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