- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+125) vs Milwaukee (-145)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-57) are set to visit American Family Field on Tuesday, aiming to secure a win against the Milwaukee Brewers (69-42). The Pirates come into this matchup with odds of +125 while the Brewers are favored at -145. The total runs over/under is established at 9. The starting pitchers for this contest will be Jared Jones and Logan Henderson.
The Pirates are producing a slugging percentage of .416, having struck out 1,063 times while drawing 410 walks. They have amassed 553 RBIs and 1,014 hits throughout the season, posting a batting average of .258. The team has recorded 178 doubles and launched 139 home runs. Collectively, the Pirates have scored 578 runs, achieving a .335 on-base percentage, which positions them at 2nd in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game.
With a K/BB ratio of 2.55, the Pirates’ pitching staff has a cumulative WHIP of 1.33. They have allowed 117 home runs and totaled 548 runs scored against them, ranking 24th in the league. Pittsburgh has registered 930 hits allowed (8.3 per 9 innings) and 485 earned runs, resulting in a 4.31 ERA this season (20th in MLB), alongside a total of 1,047 strikeouts. The team has issued 411 walks, with a FIP of 3.93.
This year, the Pirates have used 360 relief pitchers. The bullpen has faced 141 inherited runners, with 32.6% scoring. They’ve achieved 48 holds (25th in the league). Pirates’ relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 101 times and have had 105 high-leverage appearances, securing 22 saves out of 42 opportunities while blowing 20 saves for a save percentage of 52.4%.
Pittsburgh has recorded 3,035 putouts, 884 assists, and 68 errors for a fielding average of .983, ranking 22nd in MLB, including an impressive 89 double plays. The Pirates convert 68.6% of balls in play to outs in their 9,105 innings, ranking 27th in the league.
Starting pitcher Jared Jones, with an 8-10 career record, has a FIP of 3.99 and has faced 712 batters in his career. He has given up 144 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and issued 54 walks, with an ERA of 4.05 after allowing 78 earned runs, and a WHIP of 1.143 over 173 innings pitched, compiling 190 strikeouts.
The Brewers showcase a team SLG% of .399, averaging 5.00 runs per game (5th in the league). They have hit 203 doubles, tallied 460 walks, and driven in 555 runs, along with 101 home runs. The team has struck out 904 times (23rd in MLB) and accumulated 953 hits. Milwaukee ranks 2nd in team OBP at .337 and holds a batting average of .253.
With a WHIP of 1.162 and a collective FIP of 3.54, the Brewers rank 2nd in total hits conceded, allowing 805 hits. The pitching staff has given up 420 runs with an impressive ERA of 3.48 (383 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.80 (1,081 strikeouts against 347 walks), having allowed 110 home runs and yielding 3.81 runs per 9 innings, which also ranks 2nd in the league.
Milwaukee ranks 10th in save percentage, posting a 69.4% rate with 338 relief pitchers utilized this season. Their bullpen has entered 108 high-leverage situations and faced 87 runners while having 102 save opportunities. The Brewers have achieved 34 saves from 49 save chances, along with 52 holds and 15 blown saves, with an inherited scoring percentage of 42.4% on 125 runners.
With 8,925 innings played, the Brewers have recorded a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in MLB) and have executed 78 double plays. Their fielding percentage stands at .988 (8th in professional baseball), with 859 assists, 48 errors, and 2,975 putouts this season.
Logan Henderson boasts an impressive career performance, allowing only 48 hits in 69 innings pitched while striking out 87 batters. He has surrendered 18 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 0.941 and a FIP of 2.3. With a K/BB ratio of 5.12, he has faced 268 hitters, holding an 8-1 career record and a low 2.34 ERA, allowing 6.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (+125)
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