- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+106) Milwaukee (-128)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-58) are set to visit American Family Field on Thursday to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (70-43). Current betting lines show Pittsburgh at +106 and Milwaukee at -128, with an over/under total of 8.5. The starting pitchers for this matchup will be Braxton Ashcraft and Dustin May.
The Pirates boast a slugging percentage of .414 while accumulating 1,027 hits and drawing 416 walks against 1,087 strikeouts. They have a batting average of .257, with 559 RBIs and 584 runs scored this season. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates score an impressive 5.1 runs per game, placing them third in the league. They have also hit 179 doubles and blasted 141 home runs.
The Pirates hold an ERA of 4.30 for the season, ranking 20th in the league, and their pitching staff has recorded a total of 1,067 strikeouts. They have allowed 555 runs (24th in the league) and given up 119 home runs, with a FIP of 3.93. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.33, allowing 947 hits (8.3 per nine innings) and 491 earned runs. The strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.55.
Relievers for the Pirates have posted a save percentage of 53.5%, facing 94 save situations with 23 successful saves and 20 blown saves. They have inherited 142 runners, with a 32.4% scoring rate. Collectively, the bullpen has claimed 50 holds this season (ranking 24th in the league).
Defensively, the Pirates have recorded 3,086 putouts, 895 assists, and 69 errors, maintaining a .983 fielding percentage (23rd in the league). They have completed 90 double plays and converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs over 9,258 innings, placing them 27th in MLB.
Starting pitcher Ashcraft has logged 196 innings, securing 211 strikeouts, with a career ERA of 3.53. He has allowed 180 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and 55 walks, while holding a WHIP of 1.197 and a FIP of 3.48.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers have achieved a .337 on-base percentage along with a .254 team batting average this season. With 924 strikeouts (20th in the league), they have amassed 970 hits, 103 home runs, and 532 RBIs. The Brewers are scoring an average of 4.97 runs per game, placing them 5th in the league, and possess a slugging percentage of .398, complemented by 203 doubles and 467 walks.
The Brewers’ pitching staff has given up 426 runs with a robust ERA of 3.47, allowing 112 home runs and conceding 3.80 runs per nine innings (2nd in MLB). Their team WHIP sits at 1.160, with a FIP of 3.53 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.80 (1,105 strikeouts vs. 353 walks), ranking second in hits allowed with 818 this season.
In terms of save opportunities, the Brewers have completed 35 saves out of 50 chances, alongside 15 blown saves and 54 recorded holds. Their bullpen has inherited 126 runners, allowing 42.9% to score, and has recorded 109 high-leverage appearances, ranking 9th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.0%.
Defensively, Milwaukee’s efficiency stands at 71.1% (6th in MLB), having executed 79 double plays and boasting an impressive .988 fielding percentage (8th in MLB). They have recorded 3,029 putouts, 875 assists, and 49 errors this season.
Dustin May, with a career record of 24-27, has an ERA of 3.99, yielding 7.9 hits per nine innings. He maintains a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and has faced 1,815 hitters, giving up 192 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.222 and a FIP of 3.9. May has allowed 381 hits and has accumulated 403 strikeouts over 433 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB match against the spread or moneyline?
Choice: Pick Milwaukee (-128) and the under (8.5 runs)
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