- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees
- Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Lines: Pittsburgh (+110) New York (-130)
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On Monday, the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-48) will face off against the New York Yankees (54-43) at Yankee Stadium. The betting lines feature Pittsburgh at +110 while New York comes in at -130. The total over/under for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Ryan Weathers.
The Pirates have registered 159 doubles and hit 128 home runs as a collective. Pittsburgh boasts a slugging percentage of .427 and has 931 strikeouts against 368 walks. Averaging 5.3 runs per game, they rank 2nd in MLB. This season, they’ve amassed 503 RBIs and 903 hits, featuring a batting average of .263 alongside an on-base percentage of .341.
With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.52, the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.32. Pirates pitchers have allowed 104 home runs and 478 runs total, ranking them 23rd in the league. Pittsburgh has conceded 804 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 422 earned runs, holding a cumulative earned run average of 4.30 (20th in MLB) while striking out 906 batters. The team has issued 360 walks and has an impressive FIP of 3.99.
This season, Pirates relievers have come to the mound with runners on base 90 times, performing in 92 high-leverage scenarios. They’ve secured 47 holds, which stands at 20th in the league, with a save percentage of 51.4%. In 85 save opportunities, they’ve converted 19 saves but missed 18. The relief unit has inherited 129 runners, with 31.0% scoring. A total of 317 relievers have taken the mound this season.
Fielding-wise, the Pirates have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs over their 7,956 innings, placing them 24th in MLB. They’re credited with 2,652 putouts, 780 assists, and 57 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984, which ranks 21st, along with 76 double plays turned.
Mitch Keller has pitched 981 innings and collected 914 strikeouts over his career. With a career record of 48-72, Keller has a FIP of 4.51 and has faced 4,261 hitters. He bears an ERA of 4.58 (499 earned runs), along with a WHIP of 1.376, allowing 1,016 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 334 walks.
The Yankees have a SLG of .423, averaging 4.77 runs per game, which is 10th in MLB. They’ve hit 145 doubles, registered 369 walks, and recorded 463 runs. New York has also hit 142 home runs, tallying 441 RBIs. They’ve faced 875 strikeouts (5th in the league) and accumulated 761 hits, along with a .317 on-base percentage and a .237 batting average for the season.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has allowed 373 runs this season with an ERA of 3.38, conceding 323 earned runs. They have surrendered 98 home runs and yield 3.90 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). New York posts a team WHIP of 1.187 and a FIP of 3.76, with a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (842 strikeouts vs. 288 walks), ranking 4th in the league for total hits allowed (733).
Ranked 19th in save percentage at 60.5%, the Yankees have deployed 320 relief pitchers this season. Their relievers have entered 104 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 107 times. Out of 85 save chances, the Yankees have achieved 46 holds and encountered 15 blown saves. They’ve recorded 23 saves out of 38 opportunities, with a 26.4% inherited scoring percentage among 159 inherited runners.
Across 7,746 innings, the Yankees boast a defensive efficiency of 71.1%, placing 7th in MLB. They’ve executed 68 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in baseball). Collectively, they have tallied 849 assists, 56 errors, and registered 2,582 putouts this season.
Ryan Weathers has allowed 384 hits and recorded 345 strikeouts over 378 innings in his career. With 199 earned runs against him, he holds a WHIP of 1.348 and a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.74 and he has faced 1,621 batters in the majors. Weathers holds a career record of 15-30 with an earned run average of 4.74, allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-130)
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