Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs Forecast, 4/28/2026 Breakdown and Selection

Home » Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs Forecast, 4/28/2026 Breakdown and Selection

  • Matchup: Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs
  • Scheduled Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
  • Broadcast: ESPN
  • Betting Odds: Portland (+11.5)

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This evening at Frost Bank Center, the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) host the Portland Trail Blazers (42-40) in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series, where the Spurs lead 3-1. Oddsmakers have set the Trail Blazers as 11.5-point underdogs, with the total points predicted at 215.

NBA Predictions Deni Avdija Blazers Best Bets Odds

In Game 4, the Trail Blazers faced a tough defeat, falling 114-93. They committed 20 personal fouls while the Spurs had 21. From three-point range, the Blazers converted 14 of their 33 attempts. San Antonio showcased impressive free-throw shooting, hitting 82.4% by scoring 14 of 17 attempts, alongside capturing 40 rebounds (9 offensive, 31 defensive) and blocking 5 shots. The Spurs also dished out 26 assists and stole the ball 12 times during the match. On defense, Portland allowed their opponents a 49.4% shooting rate, with the Spurs hitting 43 of 87 shots. The Blazers recorded 14 assists, forced 13 turnovers, and made 6 steals, while grabbing 39 rebounds, including 7 on the offensive end. They finished the game with 19 successful free throws out of 23 attempts, a rate of 82.6%, and recorded a field goal percentage of 40.0% (32 of 80), making 10 of 31 three-point shots.

Deni Avdija shined in the last game, scoring 26 points on shooting 8 for 14. He played 37 minutes, secured 7 rebounds, and also contributed 3 assists with a shooting percentage of 57.1%.

The Trail Blazers approach this matchup with a season record of 42-40. They average 17.3 turnovers per game and commit 19.9 fouls. Collectively, Portland accumulates 46.0 rebounds per game and has a total of 2,062 assists this year, ranking 23rd in the league for assist totals. The team hits 34.3% of their three-point shots (1,186 out of 3,462) and stands at 76.5% from the free throw line. They average 115.5 points per game, placing them 17th in the NBA, while shooting 45.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Trail Blazers force 15.6 turnovers per game and draw an average of 22.0 fouls. They rank 13th in the league for assists allowed, with 2,162 given up throughout the season. Portland’s defense permits a field goal percentage of 47.1% (3,446 of 7,323) and secures 43.0 rebounds per game. Opponents shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc, and the Trail Blazers are 16th for points allowed per game (115.8).

The Spurs turned it up in the second half of Game 4, establishing a strong grip on the series. In rebounding, they allowed Portland to gather 39 total boards (7 offensive). San Antonio achieved a 32.3% shooting mark from three-pointer territory, sinking 10 of 31 attempts, and finished 19 of 23 in free throws (82.6%). The Trail Blazers hit 32 of 80 attempts from the floor, ending with a shooting percentage of 40.0%. San Antonio shot a remarkable 49.4% overall, making 43 of 87 field goal attempts, while also hitting 14 of their 33 three-point attempts (42.4%). The Spurs capitalized on 14 free-throw attempts for an 82.4% mark. Portland’s 20 personal fouls allowed the Spurs 17 free throws, complemented by 13 turnovers, and resulted in 12 steals for San Antonio, who claimed 40 rebounds (31 defensive, 9 offensive).

De’Aaron Fox was a standout performer for the Spurs, going 11 for 17 from the floor for a shooting percentage of 64.7% while grabbing 6 rebounds. He finished the game with 28 points over 39 minutes played, along with 7 assists.

This season, San Antonio holds a record of 62-20. They average 18.9 personal fouls per game and shoot 78.7% from the free throw line. The Spurs facilitate 28.1 assists per game (ranking 9th in the NBA) while averaging 13.5 turnovers. They have scored a total of 9,826 points this year (119.8 per game) with an average of 47.0 rebounds per contest. Their offensive shooting percentage is 48.3%, placing them 6th in the league.

The Spurs rank 8th in the league for points allowed per game, conceding 111.5. They force 13.0 turnovers each game and permit opponents a shooting percentage of 45.1% (4th in the NBA). Their defense allows 35.2% from three-point territory (1,066 of 3,028) and an opposing free-throw conversion rate of 79.0%. They permit 26.2 assists and 42.6 rebounds per game, ranking 12th and 8th in those categories respectively.

Which team will come out on top in tonight’s NBA game against the spread?

Prediction: Take Portland (+11.5)

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Pick: Portland Trail Blazers (+11.5)
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