Prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs on 4/20/2026: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs on 4/20/2026: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs
  • Date: Monday, April 20, 2026
  • Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • Broadcast: Marquee
  • Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+120) Chicago (-144)

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The Philadelphia Phillies (8-12) are traveling to Wrigley Field this Monday to challenge the Chicago Cubs (11-9). In this matchup, the odds are set with Philadelphia at +120 and Chicago at -144. The total runs over/under is pegged at 8, featuring starters Aaron Nola and Colin Rea on the mound.

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The Phillies have racked up 30 doubles and launched 21 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .369, they’ve struck out 172 times while earning 63 walks. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies average 3.7 runs per game, ranking 24th in MLB. They have produced 72 RBIs and accumulated 150 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .224 and scoring a total of 73 runs, complemented by a .303 on-base percentage.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has an ERA of 4.88 (27th in the league) and has struck out 200 batters. They’ve allowed 19 home runs and a total of 109 runs (28th in the league). The team has issued 55 walks, standing with a FIP of 3.29 this season. The Phillies have given up 198 hits (10.0 per 9 innings) and 97 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.64, and they hold a WHIP of 1.41.

With 72 different pitchers used in relief this season, they have inherited 20 baserunners, with 45.0% of those scoring. The bullpen has tallied 10 holds (20th in the league), entered in high-pressure situations on 14 occasions, and is credited with 5 saves out of 6 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 83.3%.

The Phillies have converted 62.6% of balls in play into outs across 1,611 innings, placing them last in the league. So far this season, they have recorded 537 putouts, 187 assists, and 15 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .980 (26th in Major League Baseball), along with 13 double plays.

Nola holds a career record of 110-90 and has a FIP of 3.78, having faced 7,132 batters over his MLB career. Allowing 1,545 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings), he has issued 455 walks and carries an ERA of 3.83 (740 earned runs). With a WHIP of 1.151, Nola has pitched for 1,737 innings, racking up 1,900 strikeouts throughout his career.

The Cubs enjoy a team slugging percentage of .402 and average 5.50 runs per game, ranking 4th in the league. They have recorded 30 doubles and earned 92 walks while producing 110 runs. With 24 home runs this season and 98 RBIs, they have struck out 169 times (19th in the league) and achieved 172 hits, holding an on-base percentage of .343 and a batting average of .252.

With a team WHIP of 1.185, the Cubs’ pitching staff has a FIP of 4.11 this season. Their pitching holds a ranking of 3rd in total hits allowed, conceding only 149 hits and 81 runs (3.74 ERA with 74 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.50, achieving 168 strikeouts against 62 walks. They have surrendered 23 home runs, allowing 4.10 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

In save contexts, the Cubs have 9 situations, with 3 holds and 3 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered 6 save opportunities, converting 3 successfully. The relief corps has a 26.9% scoring rate for inherited runners and has appeared 14 times in high-leverage situations while facing runners on base 19 times, ranking 22nd in the league with a 50.0% save rate, and have utilized 60 relief pitchers this year.

Across 1,602 innings, the Cubs maintain a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (5th in the majors), having turned 19 double plays and sporting a .988 fielding percentage (11th in professional baseball). With 180 assists, 9 errors, and 534 putouts this season, their defense has been solid.

Rea, with a career record of 39-27, carries a 4.39 ERA and allows 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and has faced 2,635 batters in his MLB tenure. Allowing 304 earned runs and holding a WHIP of 1.261, Rea has a FIP of 4.3. He has given up 601 hits while accumulating 508 strikeouts over 623 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (+120)

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Pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+120)
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