- Matchup: Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Venue: America First Field, Sandy, UT
- Broadcast: Apple TV
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Real Salt Lake (RSL) at a record of (7-8-8) is set to face New York City FC (NYCFC) with a standing of (8-5-9) at America First Field on Saturday. RSL is listed at -275, while NYCFC is at +220. The over/under for this matchup is set at 3 goals. The starting goalkeepers for the match will be Rafael Cabral for Salt Lake and Matt Freese for New York City.

Real Salt Lake has made 58 saves so far this season with a save percentage of 62.4%. They have a goal difference of -2, scoring 33 goals while conceding 35. Currently, the team is averaging 1.32 points per game (29 points total) and ranks 10th in MLS for assists with 29. RSL sits at 10th for expected goals (xG) at 21.6, with expected goals against (xGA) at 21.5. This season, Salt Lake has received 50 yellow cards and 1 red card. They have allowed 35 goals, averaging 1.59 goals conceded per 90 minutes, with opponents registering 93 shots on target. The team has achieved 2 clean sheets, resulting in a 9.1% clean sheet rate this year.
New York City FC has netted 36 goals this season, with an expected goals (xG) total of 19.5. They currently allow 1.35 goals per 90 minutes and have made 78 saves, logging 4 shutouts. On the season, NYCFC boasts a save rate of 71.8% against 110 shots on target. With 29 points, they rank 16th in MLS. NYCFC is ranked 7th for goals allowed, conceding 31 goals and holding a positive goal differential of 5. Their clean sheet rate stands at 17.4% this year, alongside 42 yellow cards issued. The Pigeons are averaging 1.3 points per match, with a total of 22 assists and 1 red card.
Rafael Cabral will be the goalkeeper for Real Salt Lake. Throughout his career, he has amassed a total of 25,568 minutes on the field with 725 saves. The Brazilian goalkeeper has faced 1,038 shots in 283 starts, conceding 321 goals, leading to a goals allowed per 90 minutes (GA/90) of 1.13 and a save percentage of 69.8%. Cabral has a career record of 116 wins, 72 losses, and 94 draws, complemented by 90 clean sheets, giving him a shutout percentage of 31.7%.
Expected to defend the goal for New York City, Matt Freese has allowed 188 goals during his professional career while securing 412 saves in 136 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes currently stands at 1.40, with a career record of 50 wins, 36 losses, and 50 draws. Freese holds a save percentage of 69.8% and has a shutout rate of 23.1%. To date, he has recorded 31 clean sheets while facing 590 shots over 12,075 minutes of play.
Zavier Gozo is a key player for Salt Lake, contributing significantly on the field. He has provided 8 assists and accumulated 28 points in his career, scoring 10 goals in 3,520 minutes played. The U.S. midfielder has been a starter in 40 matches and maintains a goals-per-90-minutes ratio of 0.26.
For New York City, Agustin Ojeda stands out as a player who can challenge defenses. He averages 0.19 goals per 90 minutes and has started 62 matches in his career, recording 12 goals in 5,624 minutes played. So far, he has tallied 38 career points and assisted on goals 14 times.
Who will prevail in this soccer matchup against the spread?
Recommendation: Bet on New York City FC (-275)
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