Sam Houston Bearkats vs Troy Trojans Analysis, 9/5/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Sam Houston Bearkats vs Troy Trojans Analysis, 9/5/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Sam Houston Bearkats vs Troy Trojans
  • Event Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
  • Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Betting Odds: Trojans favored by 17.5 points
  • Point Total: 53.5

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This exciting clash at Veterans Memorial Stadium will see the Troy Trojans (8-6 last season) host the Sam Houston Bearkats (2-10 last year) on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Sam Houston enters the game as 17.5-point underdogs, with the total set at 53.5.

The Bearkats wrapped up last season with a disappointing 2-10 record. In their last appearance, they faced the FIU Panthers, suffering a 56-16 defeat. Sam Houston attempted 38 rushes for a total of 196 yards, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt. Overall, they executed 71 plays, gaining 359 yards. Defensively, the Bearkats allowed 15 completions on 24 attempts for 291 yards, yielding a completion percentage of 62.5%. On the ground, they gave up 303 yards on 40 attempts, averaging 7.6 yards per carry.

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On the defensive side, Sam Houston conceded 3,311 passing yards, ranking them 128th in the nation. Over their 12-game season, they allowed an average of 275.9 yards per game through the air, with a completion percentage against of 70.6%. They surrendered a staggering 483.6 yards per contest, placing them 136th nationally. The Bearkats allowed 20 touchdowns in the air along with 34 rushing touchdowns, as opposing teams averaged 5.4 yards per carry and 207.7 rushing yards per game. Overall, they permitted 2,492 rushing yards throughout the season, ranking 134th in college football for points allowed, with an average of 37.8 points per game.

The Troy Trojans completed their previous season with an 8-6 record. In their last game, they faced off against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks and were narrowly defeated 17-13. Troy produced 217 total yards while running 62 plays, averaging 3.5 yards per play. Their rushing attack managed just 2.8 yards per carry, tallying 88 yards on 32 attempts. Defensively, Troy allowed 43 running plays for 100 yards, averaging 2.3 yards per rush, and their pass defense granted 173 yards on 14 of 22 attempts, resulting in a completion rate of 63.6%.

The Troy Trojans averaged 307.2 yards per game, placing them 123rd in college football. Their offense recorded 729 penalty yards on 78 infractions, ranking 63rd nationally in mistakes. Troy averaged 98.0 rushing yards per game, summing up to 1,372 yards by season’s end. The team threw 13 interceptions, allowed recovery of 6 fumbles by opponents, and registered 242 first downs. In terms of scoring, they ranked 96th in Division 1, averaging 23.5 points per game. Last season, Troy threw for a total of 2,929 yards, averaging 209.2 passing yards each game, which placed them at 90th nationally.

Defensively, the Trojans allowed 23.9 points per game, ranking them 58th overall. They permitted 2,475 rushing yards for an average of 176.8 yards per game and allowed 22 rushing touchdowns last season. In the passing game, Troy surrendered 15 touchdowns and an average of 196.2 yards, positioning them 34th in college football. The Trojans participated in 935 plays, which ranked 121st, recording 8 fumbles and 10 interceptions over the season for a total of 335 points allowed.

Who will prevail in this Bearkats/Trojans college football showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Go with the Trojans -17.5

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Pick: Troy Trojans -17.5
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