- Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: Prime Video
- Betting Odds: San Antonio favored by 4.5 points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) are set to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at the Target Center in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals, with the Spurs leading the series 3-2. Vegas has installed San Antonio as 4.5-point favorites, with the total score projection at 218.5.
In Game 5, the Spurs secured a convincing 126-97 victory. Both teams recorded 24 personal fouls. San Antonio managed 9 out of 33 from beyond the arc, while Minnesota shot 80.0% from the free-throw line, converting 24 of 30 attempts. The Timberwolves recorded 42 rebounds (10 offensive and 32 defensive) with 8 blocks, alongside 17 assists and 7 steals. Defensively, San Antonio held Minnesota to a shooting percentage of 38.6%, allowing them to make 32 of 83 attempts. The Spurs tallied 25 assists, forced 16 turnovers, and secured 9 steals. On the boards, they grabbed 50 rebounds, including 11 on offense, while shooting 21 of 27 from the free-throw line for a rate of 77.8%. The Spurs concluded the game with a field goal percentage of 52.8%, hitting 47 out of 89 shots, and made 11 out of 32 from three-point range.
Victor Wembanyama stood out in the game, scoring 27 points on 9 of 16 shooting. In 33 minutes of play, he also collected 17 rebounds and provided 5 assists.
Entering this matchup, San Antonio boasts a remarkable record of 62-20 this season. They average 13.5 turnovers per game and commit 18.9 personal fouls per outing. As a team, the Spurs pull down 47.0 rebounds per game and have dished out a total of 2,302 assists this season, ranking 9th in the league. They shoot 35.9% from three-point range (1,116 of 3,108) and maintain a free-throw percentage of 78.7%. Offensively, they average 119.8 points per game, placing them 3rd in the league, while their field goal shooting stands at 48.3%.
Defensively, the Spurs force 13.0 turnovers each game and commit 20.2 personal fouls. Opponents shoot 35.2% from the three-point line against them, and they rank 8th in the league for least points allowed per game (111.5). Additionally, they concede an opponent field goal percentage of 45.1% (3,366 of 7,469) while allowing 42.6 rebounds per game and ranking 12th in assists given up (2,148 this season).
In Game 5, the Timberwolves struggled, managing 32 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 42 rebounds. They committed 16 turnovers but also earned 7 steals. The Spurs recorded 24 personal fouls, allowing Minnesota 30 free-throw attempts, which they converted at 80.0%. From three-point land, the Timberwolves made just 9 of 33 attempts (27.3%) and shot 38.6% from the field, hitting 32 of 83 total shots. Minnesota faced a tough task, as they allowed the Spurs to score on 47 of their 89 attempts, resulting in a shooting percentage of 52.8%. Their performance from three-point range landed them at 34.4%, with 11 successful shots out of 32 attempts, while going 21 of 27 (77.8%) from the charity stripe. The Timberwolves allowed San Antonio a staggering 50 total rebounds, including 11 on the offensive glass.
Anthony Edwards significantly contributed for Minnesota, scoring 20 points on 6 of 13 shooting (46.2%) with 2 rebounds and 2 assists across 39 minutes of play.
The Timberwolves carry a record of 49-33 this season. They average 21.2 fouls per game and are converting 75.2% of their free throws. They’re assisting 26.1 times per game (16th in the league) and committing 14.8 turnovers per game. Minnesota has scored 9,676 points, averaging 118.0 points per game, and they pull down 44.1 rebounds each matchup. Their offensive shooting percentage stands at 48.1%, ranked 9th overall.
Defensively, Minnesota is 12th in points allowed per game (114.6). They induce 15.0 turnovers per night and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (7th in the NBA). The Minnesota defense gives up 35.5% on three-point attempts (990 of 2,786), and teams have connected on 78.1% of their free-throw shots. They concede 26.0 assists and 43.7 rebounds per game, ranking 10th and 16th respectively in the league.
Which team will cover the spread in tonight’s NBA matchup?
Prediction: Take San Antonio (-4.5)
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