- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds
- Event Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: San Diego (-128) Cincinnati (+106)
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The Cincinnati Reds (65-72) are set to face off against the San Diego Padres (72-65) at Great American Ball Park this Tuesday. According to the odds, the Padres are favored at -128, while the Reds come in at +106. The total runs are projected at 8. Starting pitchers for this matchup will be Randy Vasquez for the Padres and Nick Lodolo for the Reds.
The San Diego Padres are currently boasting a slugging percentage of .385, having struck out 1,109 times and accrued 477 walks this season. They have achieved 561 RBIs and 1,067 hits with a batting average of .236. The team has also hit 197 doubles and 150 home runs, scoring a total of 583 runs with an on-base percentage of .314. Averaging 4.3 runs per game, the Padres rank 22nd in the league.
The Padres’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.38, and the pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.29. They have allowed 152 home runs and surrendered 573 runs, placing them 9th in the league. With 1,102 hits conceded (averaging 8.2 per 9 innings) and 531 earned runs, the team maintains a 3.94 earned run average, ranking 10th among all teams. So far, the pitching staff has recorded 1,106 strikeouts and issued 465 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.18.
This season, the Padres have utilized 460 relievers who have inherited 213 runners, with a 31.9% scoring rate for those runners. The bullpen holds 85 holds (ranked 8th in MLB) and has faced 131 appearances with runners on base in high-leverage scenarios. With 40 total saves out of 58 opportunities, the Padres boast a save rate of 69.0%, having entered 146 save situations.
Defensively, the San Diego Padres have achieved 3,640 putouts, 1,214 assists, and committed 58 errors, yielding a solid fielding percentage of .988, ranking 5th in the majors. They have recorded 111 double plays and convert 70.6% of balls in play into outs over 10,920 innings, sitting 10th in the league.
Vasquez (22-22 career record) has a FIP of 4.00, having faced 1,683 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 398 hits (9.1 hits/9 innings) and issued 133 walks, with an earned run average of 4.06 (177 earned runs). Over 392 innings pitched, Vasquez has achieved 249 strikeouts and carries a WHIP of 1.354.
The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .396, scoring an average of 4.16 runs per game, placing them 23rd in Major League Baseball. With 193 doubles, 489 walks, and 570 runs scored, they have tallied 183 home runs and 546 RBIs. However, the team has struck out 1,304 times this season, ranking 2nd in the league, and recorded 1,041 hits, with an overall on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .228.
On the pitching side, the Reds have relinquished 678 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 4.67 with 630 earned runs allowed. They have given up 177 home runs and allow 5.02 runs per nine innings, which puts them at 26th in the league. Their WHIP sits at 1.425, accompanied by a FIP of 4.72, showing a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (1,099 strikeouts to 559 walks). In total hits allowed, they rank 24th with 1,172 hits given up.
With 135 save opportunities, the Reds have acquired 75 holds and registered 21 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered in 57 save chances, successfully achieving 36 saves. Cincinnati’s relievers have inherited 28.0% of 214 inherited runners, stepping into high-leverage situations 167 times and onto the mound 147 times with runners on base. They currently hold a 63.2% save percentage, which ranks 15th in MLB, having deployed 481 relievers this season.
The Cincinnati Reds achieved 92 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in the league). With 1,099 assists and 76 errors, they’ve recorded a total of 3,645 putouts over the year. Their defensive efficiency is 69.8% through 10,935 innings of play, ranking them 16th in Major League Baseball.
Over his career, Lodolo has allowed 468 hits and recorded 520 strikeouts across 488 innings. With a career record of 27-25, Lodolo boasts a 4.26 earned run average, giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 231 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.266 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.47 after facing 2,101 opposing hitters thus far in his career.
Which team will secure the win in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back San Diego (-128)
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